Thursday, December 17, 2009

Congress votes to raise debt ceiling

In a big showing of fiscal mismanagement, Congress votes to raise the debt ceiling. From The Hill.


In an end-of-session nail-biter vote, the House passed a short-term increase of the debt limit Wednesday, setting the stage for a February showdown on deficit spending.
It was not a popular measure with centrist and vulnerable lawmakers, who don’t want to be portrayed as allowing the nation to go deeper into debt. The $290 billion increase would set the debt ceiling at $12.394 trillion.


The vote was 218-214, but Democratic leaders had to sweat it out. As the voting clock ticked down to zero, the bill was losing, 203-208.Thirty-nine Democrats rejected the measure and not one Republican voted for it. Three members, Reps. George Radanovich (R-Calif.), Jackie Speier (D-Calif.) and Bill Young Most of the Democrats who voted against the debt increase are expected to face challenging reelection races.

Three of the four Democrats running for the Senate, Reps. Paul Hodes (N.H.), Kendrick Meek (Fla.) and Charlie Melancon (La.), voted no. Rep. Joe Sestak (Pa.), who is running against Sen. Arlen Specter (Pa.) in the Democratic primary, voted yes.

You can't have congress without the word "con," and this is a conjob of the highest order. 13 Trillion in debt. Sell this country out further to the Chinese government. Pay more money in interest - There's a waste of money.

I know the left is going to bring up Bush. Obama (who voted for much of Bush's spending as a senator) is making Bush look moderate on spending, and Bush was very liberal on government spending issues. He was wrong, as was Congress from 2002 to 2006 under Hastert and Frist. That was bad on fiscal issues. 2006 onward was even worse under Reid and Pelosi.

Bush spent too much. That was unacceptable. I said so then. Obama spends even more. That's even worse. The only good thing about this vote is that every single republican voted against it.



Sunday, December 13, 2009

Alpena County Updated

Alpena County is the anchor county for the sunrise side of Northern Michigan. While Northwestern Michigan is more affluent (although less so with the economy), Northeastern Michigan is more working class and populist in its leanings. There is a union influence more in this part of the state compared to other areas up north, both among the workers and a large number retirees from downstate who like the lower cost of living due to land and housing.

For the previous Alpena County profile, Click here

Alpena County:
Location - Northeast Michigan
Population - 29,679 (2005-07)
Demographics (2000) – 98.21% White, .25% Black, .39% American Indian, .33% Asian, .12% Some other Race, .7% Two or more races, .58% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat - Alpena (Population 11,201, 2000 estimate)

Local Elected Officials
Prosecutor - Ed Black - Democrat (won 56%-43%)
Sheriff - Steve Kieliszewski - Republican (unopposed)
Clerk - Bonnie Friedrichs - Republican (unopposed)
Treasurer - Jocelyn McCallum - Republican (unopposed)
Register of Deeds - Kathy J Matash - Republican
Drain Commissioner - Donald Bartosh - Republican (won by 14 votes)

County Commissioner:
District 1 - Dale Bell - Democrat (city of Alpena)
District 2 - Kathy Thomas - Democrat (city of Alpena)
District 3 - Thomas Mullaney - Republican (won 52-47%) (City of Alpena)
District 4 - Lyle Van Wormer - Republican  (Alpena Township)
District 5 - Gerald Fournier - Republican (won 51-48%) (Alpena Township)
District 6 - Mark Hall - Democrat (Alpena Twp, Long Rapids Twp, Maple Ridge Twp)
District 7 - Cameron Habermehl - Republican (Green, Long Rapids, Wellington, Wilson)
District 8 - Bill Estlak - Republican (Ossineke, Sanborn)

Alpena Township - 5 Democrats, 2 Republicans
Green Township - 5 Republicans
Long Rapids Township - 5 Republicans
Maple Ridge Township - 3 Democrats, 2 Republicans
Ossineke Township - 5 Republicans
Sanborn Township - 5 Democrats
Wellington Township - 3 Republicans, 1 Democrat
Wilson Township - 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat

I am surprised at the local republican strength in Alpena County, considering the top of the ticket results leaning democrat, as well as the congressional, state rep, and state senate results being almost a base county for the dems. The State Rep and State Senate districts are competitive here due to counties outside of Alpena, and so should the congressional seat if Stupak retires or runs for higher office.

1998:
This was the Engler v Fieger year, and the GOP did well.


Governor 98
Engler
Fieger
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2605
1427
0
4032
1178
64.61%
35.39%
29.22%
Alpena Twp
2395
1256
0
3651
1139
65.60%
34.40%
31.20%
Green Twp
252
143
0
395
109
63.80%
36.20%
27.59%
Long Rapids Twp
227
135
0
362
92
62.71%
37.29%
25.41%
Maple Ridge Twp
361
215
0
576
146
62.67%
37.33%
25.35%
Ossineke Twp
396
180
0
576
216
68.75%
31.25%
37.50%
Sanborn Twp
507
244
0
751
263
67.51%
32.49%
35.02%
Wellington Twp
56
23
0
79
33
70.89%
29.11%
41.77%
Wilson Twp
468
166
1
635
302
73.70%
26.14%
47.56%









Total
7267
3789
1
11057
3478
65.72%
34.27%
31.46%
The Secretary of State race was also a blowout.
Sec of State 98
Miller
Parks
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2554
1403
76
4033
1151
63.33%
34.79%
28.54%
Alpena Twp
2266
1108
39
3413
1158
66.39%
32.46%
33.93%
Green Twp
259
123
3
385
136
67.27%
31.95%
35.32%
Long Rapids Twp
241
113
4
358
128
67.32%
31.56%
35.75%
Maple Ridge Twp
332
199
8
539
133
61.60%
36.92%
24.68%
Ossineke Twp
388
155
5
548
233
70.80%
28.28%
42.52%
Sanborn Twp
466
226
7
699
240
66.67%
32.33%
34.33%
Wellington Twp
54
19
1
74
35
72.97%
25.68%
47.30%
Wilson Twp
446
141
4
591
305
75.47%
23.86%
51.61%









Total
7006
3487
147
10640
3519
65.85%
32.77%
33.07%

The AG's race however went narrowly democrat, here and statewide. The dems went all in for Granholm that year.

AG 98
Smietanka
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1894
2116
0
4010
-222
47.23%
52.77%
-5.54%
Alpena Twp
1648
1711
0
3359
-63
49.06%
50.94%
-1.88%
Green Twp
176
180
0
356
-4
49.44%
50.56%
-1.12%
Long Rapids Twp
182
149
0
331
33
54.98%
45.02%
9.97%
Maple Ridge Twp
257
275
0
532
-18
48.31%
51.69%
-3.38%
Ossineke Twp
302
220
0
522
82
57.85%
42.15%
15.71%
Sanborn Twp
334
330
0
664
4
50.30%
49.70%
0.60%
Wellington Twp
41
31
0
72
10
56.94%
43.06%
13.89%
Wilson Twp
339
235
0
574
104
59.06%
40.94%
18.12%









Total
5173
5247
0
10420
-74
49.64%
50.36%
-0.71%

Stupak showed his strength in 98 against arguably his toughest opponent in Michelle McManus. McManus landed on her feet after this race elected to state senate and now running for Secretary for State, but Stupak survived 94 (his weakest numbers as incumbent) and 98 (3rd weakest numbers - 2000 was weaker due to a gun vote) in a more republican 1st district than the current post 2002 boundaries.


Congress 1st 98
McManus
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1265
2785
59
4109
-1520
30.79%
67.78%
-36.99%
Alpena Twp
1242
2341
30
3613
-1099
34.38%
64.79%
-30.42%
Green Twp
153
232
4
389
-79
39.33%
59.64%
-20.31%
Long Rapids Twp
135
223
5
363
-88
37.19%
61.43%
-24.24%
Maple Ridge Twp
177
388
5
570
-211
31.05%
68.07%
-37.02%
Ossineke Twp
250
319
3
572
-69
43.71%
55.77%
-12.06%
Sanborn Twp
247
479
8
734
-232
33.65%
65.26%
-31.61%
Wellington Twp
28
50
0
78
-22
35.90%
64.10%
-28.21%
Wilson Twp
272
359
3
634
-87
42.90%
56.62%
-13.72%









Total
3769
7176
117
11062
-3407
34.07%
64.87%
-30.80%

The State Senate district was not as competitive as its geography suggested it could be. Walt North won easily. Redistricting changed this area heavily in 2002.

St. Senate 37th 98
North
Chase
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2311
1689
0
4000
622
57.78%
42.23%
15.55%
Alpena Twp
2032
1317
0
3349
715
60.67%
39.33%
21.35%
Green Twp
216
149
0
365
67
59.18%
40.82%
18.36%
Long Rapids Twp
220
119
0
339
101
64.90%
35.10%
29.79%
Maple Ridge Twp
314
219
0
533
95
58.91%
41.09%
17.82%
Ossineke Twp
364
169
0
533
195
68.29%
31.71%
36.59%
Sanborn Twp
418
252
0
670
166
62.39%
37.61%
24.78%
Wellington Twp
54
21
0
75
33
72.00%
28.00%
44.00%
Wilson Twp
402
179
0
581
223
69.19%
30.81%
38.38%









Total
6331
4114
0
10445
2217
60.61%
39.39%
21.23%

The state rep district I believe was an open seat in 98 and a big win for the dems. Andy Neumann won the seat and held it in 98 and 00, before running for State Senate in 02. He later recaptured the redistricted seat in 08. This one wasn't close in the county, although it was fairly close overall. Ludlow only lost by 1500 votes total. Alpena made the difference for Neumann. (District included Presque Isle, Cheboygan, and Charlevoix Counties as well)

St. Rep 106th 98
Ludlow
Neumann
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1662
2450
0
4112
-788
40.42%
59.58%
-19.16%
Alpena Twp
1580
2113
0
3693
-533
42.78%
57.22%
-14.43%
Green Twp
170
227
0
397
-57
42.82%
57.18%
-14.36%
Long Rapids Twp
145
215
0
360
-70
40.28%
59.72%
-19.44%
Maple Ridge Twp
243
334
0
577
-91
42.11%
57.89%
-15.77%
Ossineke Twp
274
303
0
577
-29
47.49%
52.51%
-5.03%
Sanborn Twp
305
444
0
749
-139
40.72%
59.28%
-18.56%
Wellington Twp
34
41
0
75
-7
45.33%
54.67%
-9.33%
Wilson Twp
314
323
0
637
-9
49.29%
50.71%
-1.41%









Total
4727
6450
0
11177
-1723
42.29%
57.71%
-15.42%

2000 was close at the top of the ticket in Alpena. Al Gore won by about 300 votes countywide, despite losing most municipalities. The City of Alpena, Alpena Township, and Maple Ridge Township went for Gore, with the rest going for Bush, but those three were enough, and really only the City of Alpena was needed. The three areas are grouped together in the East/Northeast section of the county. Alpena City and Township have most of the votes. Bush won the "red" areas with 56%, but it was 3825 votes. Gore won the blue areas with 53%, but it was 10302 votes.

POTUS
Bush
Gore
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2081
2720
113
4914
-639
42.35%
55.35%
-13.00%
Alpena Twp
2179
2375
94
4648
-196
46.88%
51.10%
-4.22%
Green Twp
289
246
8
543
43
53.22%
45.30%
7.92%
Long Rapids Twp
256
216
13
485
40
52.78%
44.54%
8.25%
Maple Ridge Twp
349
370
21
740
-21
47.16%
50.00%
-2.84%
Ossineke Twp
479
292
19
790
187
60.63%
36.96%
23.67%
Sanborn Twp
534
424
22
980
110
54.49%
43.27%
11.22%
Wellington Twp
70
43
1
114
27
61.40%
37.72%
23.68%
Wilson Twp
532
367
14
913
165
58.27%
40.20%
18.07%









Total
6769
7053
305
14127
-284
47.92%
49.93%
-2.01%

The senate race surprised me here.


Senate 00
Abraham
Stabenow
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2466
2269
121
4856
197
50.78%
46.73%
4.06%
Alpena Twp
2294
1992
79
4365
302
52.55%
45.64%
6.92%
Green Twp
298
219
15
532
79
56.02%
41.17%
14.85%
Long Rapids Twp
259
179
10
448
80
57.81%
39.96%
17.86%
Maple Ridge Twp
356
322
16
694
34
51.30%
46.40%
4.90%
Ossineke Twp
478
249
14
741
229
64.51%
33.60%
30.90%
Sanborn Twp
529
322
23
874
207
60.53%
36.84%
23.68%
Wellington Twp
69
38
3
110
31
62.73%
34.55%
28.18%
Wilson Twp
567
312
21
900
255
63.00%
34.67%
28.33%









Total
7316
5902
302
13520
1414
54.11%
43.65%
10.46%

Stupak won easily again as 2000, although Chuck Yob was the closest challenger since 1994 districtwide.


Congress 1st 00
Yob
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1361
3442
42
4845
-2081
28.09%
71.04%
-42.95%
Alpena Twp
1341
3053
22
4416
-1712
30.37%
69.13%
-38.77%
Green Twp
218
303
2
523
-85
41.68%
57.93%
-16.25%
Long Rapids Twp
200
262
1
463
-62
43.20%
56.59%
-13.39%
Maple Ridge Twp
245
457
5
707
-212
34.65%
64.64%
-29.99%
Ossineke Twp
331
412
3
746
-81
44.37%
55.23%
-10.86%
Sanborn Twp
331
597
7
935
-266
35.40%
63.85%
-28.45%
Wellington Twp
49
61
1
111
-12
44.14%
54.95%
-10.81%
Wilson Twp
378
522
9
909
-144
41.58%
57.43%
-15.84%









Total
4454
9109
92
13655
-4655
32.62%
66.71%
-34.09%

Neumann had an easy re-election in 2000.

St Rep 106
Flanders
Neumann
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1002
3816
0
4818
-2814
20.80%
79.20%
-58.41%
Alpena Twp
950
3486
0
4436
-2536
21.42%
78.58%
-57.17%
Green Twp
153
363
0
516
-210
29.65%
70.35%
-40.70%
Long Rapids Twp
123
326
0
449
-203
27.39%
72.61%
-45.21%
Maple Ridge Twp
146
554
0
700
-408
20.86%
79.14%
-58.29%
Ossineke Twp
254
489
0
743
-235
34.19%
65.81%
-31.63%
Sanborn Twp
230
702
0
932
-472
24.68%
75.32%
-50.64%
Wellington Twp
32
77
0
109
-45
29.36%
70.64%
-41.28%
Wilson Twp
276
631
0
907
-355
30.43%
69.57%
-39.14%









Total
3166
10444
0
13610
-7278
23.26%
76.74%
-53.48%

2002 was good to Granholm in Alpena County. Many parts of Northern Michigan, especially on the sunrise side (Lake Huron) are state democrats and federal or local republicans. They are more social conservative, but often work for the state with the DNR or Corrections departments. For a good illustration of this, compare 2000, 2002 (Posthumus ran ahead of Bush statewide in 2002), and 2004.


Governor 02
Posthumus
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1459
2362
55
3876
-903
37.64%
60.94%
-23.30%
Alpena Twp
1559
2221
28
3808
-662
40.94%
58.32%
-17.38%
Green Twp
176
212
3
391
-36
45.01%
54.22%
-9.21%
Long Rapids Twp
169
216
2
387
-47
43.67%
55.81%
-12.14%
Maple Ridge Twp
248
347
5
600
-99
41.33%
57.83%
-16.50%
Ossineke Twp
314
262
5
581
52
54.04%
45.09%
8.95%
Sanborn Twp
365
375
2
742
-10
49.19%
50.54%
-1.35%
Wellington Twp
57
39
1
97
18
58.76%
40.21%
18.56%
Wilson Twp
375
357
9
741
18
50.61%
48.18%
2.43%









Total
4722
6391
110
11223
-1669
42.07%
56.95%
-14.87%

The Secretary of State race was closer in the county than it was statewide.


Sec of State 02
Land
Hollowell
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1815
1829
121
3765
-14
48.21%
48.58%
-0.37%
Alpena Twp
1752
1611
39
3402
141
51.50%
47.35%
4.14%
Green Twp
194
171
4
369
23
52.57%
46.34%
6.23%
Long Rapids Twp
131
60
5
196
71
66.84%
30.61%
36.22%
Maple Ridge Twp
266
277
5
548
-11
48.54%
50.55%
-2.01%
Ossineke Twp
329
158
6
493
171
66.73%
32.05%
34.69%
Sanborn Twp
383
277
9
669
106
57.25%
41.41%
15.84%
Wellington Twp
65
27
1
93
38
69.89%
29.03%
40.86%
Wilson Twp
456
233
22
711
223
64.14%
32.77%
31.36%









Total
5391
4643
212
10246
748
52.62%
45.32%
7.30%

The Attorney General Race was the closest in the state.Peters won  Alpena County solidly, although not as much as Granholm did. Mike Cox won statewide by about 5000 votes.


Att. General 02
Cox
Peters
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1539
2128
95
3762
-589
40.91%
56.57%
-15.66%
Alpena Twp
1472
1871
39
3382
-399
43.52%
55.32%
-11.80%
Green Twp
172
190
8
370
-18
46.49%
51.35%
-4.86%
Long Rapids Twp
157
179
6
342
-22
45.91%
52.34%
-6.43%
Maple Ridge Twp
218
317
9
544
-99
40.07%
58.27%
-18.20%
Ossineke Twp
290
221
7
518
69
55.98%
42.66%
13.32%
Sanborn Twp
319
335
6
660
-16
48.33%
50.76%
-2.42%
Wellington Twp
64
25
2
91
39
70.33%
27.47%
42.86%
Wilson Twp
390
304
22
716
86
54.47%
42.46%
12.01%









Total
4621
5570
194
10385
-949
44.50%
53.64%
-9.14%


The US Senate seat was a case of Rocky thrown to the wolves.


US Senate 02
Raczkowski
Lenin
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1025
2795
60
3880
-1770
26.42%
72.04%
-45.62%
Alpena Twp
1070
2499
34
3603
-1429
29.70%
69.36%
-39.66%
Green Twp
131
241
4
376
-110
34.84%
64.10%
-29.26%
Long Rapids Twp
108
246
3
357
-138
30.25%
68.91%
-38.66%
Maple Ridge Twp
162
401
7
570
-239
28.42%
70.35%
-41.93%
Ossineke Twp
254
303
2
559
-49
45.44%
54.20%
-8.77%
Sanborn Twp
232
453
5
690
-221
33.62%
65.65%
-32.03%
Wellington Twp
41
53
1
95
-12
43.16%
55.79%
-12.63%
Wilson Twp
279
451
7
737
-172
37.86%
61.19%
-23.34%









Total
3302
7442
123
10867
-4140
30.39%
68.48%
-38.10%

Redistricting was friendly to Stupak giving him less of the Lake Michigan side and more of the sunrise side which has more Reagan Democrat type of voters that support someone like Stupak. That made the district just that much stronger for Stupak who ran about 10% higher districtwide than he did in the 90's.


Congress 1st 02
Hooper
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
733
3122
38
3893
-2389
18.83%
80.20%
-61.37%
Alpena Twp
779
2840
17
3636
-2061
21.42%
78.11%
-56.68%
Green Twp
108
274
1
383
-166
28.20%
71.54%
-43.34%
Long Rapids Twp
85
276
2
363
-191
23.42%
76.03%
-52.62%
Maple Ridge Twp
122
454
3
579
-332
21.07%
78.41%
-57.34%
Ossineke Twp
200
356
1
557
-156
35.91%
63.91%
-28.01%
Sanborn Twp
164
517
8
689
-353
23.80%
75.04%
-51.23%
Wellington Twp
34
60
1
95
-26
35.79%
63.16%
-27.37%
Wilson Twp
221
508
5
734
-287
30.11%
69.21%
-39.10%









Total
2446
8407
76
10929
-5961
22.38%
76.92%
-54.54%


Redistricting significantly changed the state senate district. The old 37th District covered parts of Northern Lower Michigan and a couple of UP Counties. Alcona, Alger, Alpena, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa, Emmet, Iosco, Luce, Mackinac, Montmorency, Oscoda, Presque Isle, and Schoolcraft Counties.

The post 2002 36th District covered Alcona, Alpena, Crawford, Gladwin, Iosco, Midland, Montmorency, Ogemaw, Oscoda, and Otsego Counties. It is mostly a different part of North Michigan, and Alpena over in the Saginaw Valley area. It's a tough district for either party due to local ties. Tony Stamas snuck out a victory over Andy Neumann in this open seat. Neumann did his job in Alpena however. Stamas did the same to Neumann in Midland however, and that made the difference in the district.


St Senate 36th 02
Stamas
Neumann
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
852
3080
0
3932
-2228
21.67%
78.33%
-56.66%
Alpena Twp
914
2876
0
3790
-1962
24.12%
75.88%
-51.77%
Green Twp
111
285
0
396
-174
28.03%
71.97%
-43.94%
Long Rapids Twp
97
290
0
387
-193
25.06%
74.94%
-49.87%
Maple Ridge Twp
125
458
0
583
-333
21.44%
78.56%
-57.12%
Ossineke Twp
226
355
0
581
-129
38.90%
61.10%
-22.20%
Sanborn Twp
196
538
0
734
-342
26.70%
73.30%
-46.59%
Wellington Twp
37
58
0
95
-21
38.95%
61.05%
-22.11%
Wilson Twp
291
451
0
742
-160
39.22%
60.78%
-21.56%









Total
2849
8391
0
11240
-5542
25.35%
74.65%
-49.31%

Stamas actually won that race. That left an opening for state rep.in the 106th District.

The old 106th District covered Alcona, Alpena, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, and Presque Isle counties. The post 2002 106th District covers Alcona, Alpena, Crawford, Montmorency, Oscoda, and Presque Isle. Matt Gillard won a close race districtwide by 500 votes, thanks to his strong showing in Alpena County, which he won by 2900 votes. Both districts are swing districts with a slight local democrat lean. The GOP I think last held the district in the 80's or maybe early 90's, and has been close but no cigar when they go all in for it.


St Rep 106th 02
Wyman
Gillard
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1239
2650
0
3889
-1411
31.86%
68.14%
-36.28%
Alpena Twp
1311
2363
0
3674
-1052
35.68%
64.32%
-28.63%
Green Twp
157
226
0
383
-69
40.99%
59.01%
-18.02%
Long Rapids Twp
149
218
0
367
-69
40.60%
59.40%
-18.80%
Maple Ridge Twp
221
357
0
578
-136
38.24%
61.76%
-23.53%
Ossineke Twp
288
274
0
562
14
51.25%
48.75%
2.49%
Sanborn Twp
277
439
0
716
-162
38.69%
61.31%
-22.63%
Wellington Twp
51
44
0
95
7
53.68%
46.32%
7.37%
Wilson Twp
367
366
0
733
1
50.07%
49.93%
0.14%









Total
4060
6937
0
10997
-2877
36.92%
63.08%
-26.16%

In 2004, Bush somewhat suprisingly won Alpena County. Nothing flipped from 2000 in the municipalities that went red and blue, but Kerry won the same areas Gore won with 51% instead of 53%, and the Bush areas went with almost 58% instead of 56%.


POTUS
Bush
Kerry
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
2355
2746
54
5155
-391
45.68%
53.27%
-7.58%
Alpena Twp
2453
2494
40
4987
-41
49.19%
50.01%
-0.82%
Green Twp
345
278
7
630
67
54.76%
44.13%
10.63%
Long Rapids Twp
273
246
2
521
27
52.40%
47.22%
5.18%
Maple Ridge Twp
405
410
6
821
-5
49.33%
49.94%
-0.61%
Ossineke Twp
525
318
6
849
207
61.84%
37.46%
24.38%
Sanborn Twp
598
467
9
1074
131
55.68%
43.48%
12.20%
Wellington Twp
89
43
2
134
46
66.42%
32.09%
34.33%
Wilson Twp
622
405
13
1040
217
59.81%
38.94%
20.87%









Total
7665
7407
139
15211
258
50.39%
48.70%
1.70%

There wasn't coattails however. Stupak won easily, as did Gillard.


Congress 1st 04
Hooper
Stupak
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1037
3972
74
5083
-2935
20.40%
78.14%
-57.74%
Alpena Twp
1073
3768
55
4896
-2695
21.92%
76.96%
-55.04%
Green Twp
168
434
6
608
-266
27.63%
71.38%
-43.75%
Long Rapids Twp
138
370
2
510
-232
27.06%
72.55%
-45.49%
Maple Ridge Twp
193
603
9
805
-410
23.98%
74.91%
-50.93%
Ossineke Twp
294
525
9
828
-231
35.51%
63.41%
-27.90%
Sanborn Twp
250
792
9
1051
-542
23.79%
75.36%
-51.57%
Wellington Twp
47
85
15
147
-38
31.97%
57.82%
-25.85%
Wilson Twp
335
679
10
1024
-344
32.71%
66.31%
-33.59%









Total
3535
11228
189
14952
-7693
23.64%
75.09%
-51.45%


St Rep 106th 04
Fortier
Gillard
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1559
3530
0
5089
-1971
30.63%
69.37%
-38.73%
Alpena Twp
1573
3365
0
4938
-1792
31.86%
68.14%
-36.29%
Green Twp
249
361
0
610
-112
40.82%
59.18%
-18.36%
Long Rapids Twp
191
324
0
515
-133
37.09%
62.91%
-25.83%
Maple Ridge Twp
285
524
0
809
-239
35.23%
64.77%
-29.54%
Ossineke Twp
474
361
0
835
113
56.77%
43.23%
13.53%
Sanborn Twp
437
621
0
1058
-184
41.30%
58.70%
-17.39%
Wellington Twp
48
85
0
133
-37
36.09%
63.91%
-27.82%
Wilson Twp
504
530
0
1034
-26
48.74%
51.26%
-2.51%









Total
5320
9701
0
15021
-4381
35.42%
64.58%
-29.17%

2006 was a big dem year nationwide, and in Michigan, including Alpena. Granholm won easily.


Governor 06
DeVos
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Alpena City
1369
2511
48
3928
-1142
34.85%
63.93%
-29.07%
Alpena Twp
1443
2559
46
4048
-1116
35.65%
63.22%
-27.57%
Green Twp
209
270
8
487
-61
42.92%
55.44%
-12.53%
Long Rapids Twp
191
243
2
436
-52
43.81%
55.73%
-11.93%
Maple Ridge Twp
250
378
11
639
-128
39.12%
59.15%
-20.03%
Ossineke Twp
349
308
9
666
41
52.40%
46.25%
6.16%
Sanborn Twp
368
462
14
844
-94
43.60%
54.74%
-11.14%
Wellington Twp
64
41
0
105
23
60.95%
39.05%
21.90%
Wilson Twp
446
415
16
877
31
50.86%
47.32%
3.53%









Total
4689
7187
154
12030
-2498
38.98%
59.74%
-20.76%

However, there were two exceptions to the rule. Terri Land and Mike Cox.


Sec of State 06 Land Sabaugh 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2115 1663 90 3868 452 54.68% 42.99% 11.69%
Alpena Twp 2324 1539 52 3915 785 59.36% 39.31% 20.05%
Green Twp 299 171 8 478 128 62.55% 35.77% 26.78%
Long Rapids Twp 284 132 7 423 152 67.14% 31.21% 35.93%
Maple Ridge Twp 368 248 16 632 120 58.23% 39.24% 18.99%
Ossineke Twp 441 206 11 658 235 67.02% 31.31% 35.71%
Sanborn Twp 513 279 22 814 234 63.02% 34.28% 28.75%
Wellington Twp 79 21 1 101 58 78.22% 20.79% 57.43%
Wilson Twp 588 245 16 849 343 69.26% 28.86% 40.40%









Total 7011 4504 223 11738 2507 59.73% 38.37% 21.36%


Mike Cox flipped a county he lost in 02, and won every municipality.


Att. General 06 Cox Williams 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1857 1810 132 3799 47 48.88% 47.64% 1.24%
Alpena Twp 2015 1716 111 3842 299 52.45% 44.66% 7.78%
Green Twp 256 205 5 466 51 54.94% 43.99% 10.94%
Long Rapids Twp 253 154 13 420 99 60.24% 36.67% 23.57%
Maple Ridge Twp 319 266 23 608 53 52.47% 43.75% 8.72%
Ossineke Twp 390 226 29 645 164 60.47% 35.04% 25.43%
Sanborn Twp 449 329 27 805 120 55.78% 40.87% 14.91%
Wellington Twp 66 31 4 101 35 65.35% 30.69% 34.65%
Wilson Twp 513 292 28 833 221 61.58% 35.05% 26.53%









Total 6118 5029 372 11519 1089 53.11% 43.66% 9.45%

Unfortunately, Stabenow won easily.


US Senate 06 Bouchard Stabenow 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1145 2705 70 3920 -1560 29.21% 69.01% -39.80%
Alpena Twp 1284 2700 41 4025 -1416 31.90% 67.08% -35.18%
Green Twp 179 302 5 486 -123 36.83% 62.14% -25.31%
Long Rapids Twp 159 275 2 436 -116 36.47% 63.07% -26.61%
Maple Ridge Twp 202 423 10 635 -221 31.81% 66.61% -34.80%
Ossineke Twp 292 357 17 666 -65 43.84% 53.60% -9.76%
Sanborn Twp 296 529 14 839 -233 35.28% 63.05% -27.77%
Wellington Twp 43 62 4 109 -19 39.45% 56.88% -17.43%
Wilson Twp 371 479 16 866 -108 42.84% 55.31% -12.47%









Total 3971 7832 179 11982 -3861 33.14% 65.36% -32.22%

Stupak continued his winning ways in another rematch with Hooper.


Congress 1st 06 Hooper Stupak 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 722 3127 59 3908 -2405 18.47% 80.02% -61.54%
Alpena Twp 798 3142 58 3998 -2344 19.96% 78.59% -58.63%
Green Twp 126 347 9 482 -221 26.14% 71.99% -45.85%
Long Rapids Twp 115 315 3 433 -200 26.56% 72.75% -46.19%
Maple Ridge Twp 143 480 15 638 -337 22.41% 75.24% -52.82%
Ossineke Twp 201 454 12 667 -253 30.13% 68.07% -37.93%
Sanborn Twp 173 646 14 833 -473 20.77% 77.55% -56.78%
Wellington Twp 34 69 2 105 -35 32.38% 65.71% -33.33%
Wilson Twp 225 598 14 837 -373 26.88% 71.45% -44.56%









Total 2537 9178 186 11901 -6641 21.32% 77.12% -55.80%


Stamas had a much easier time in 2006 as one of the bright spots. He flipped this county after his 2002 race.


St. Senate 36th Stamas Reid 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2387 1484 0 3871 903 61.66% 38.34% 23.33%
Alpena Twp 2532 1416 0 3948 1116 64.13% 35.87% 28.27%
Green Twp 317 182 0 499 135 63.53% 36.47% 27.05%
Long Rapids Twp 303 124 0 427 179 70.96% 29.04% 41.92%
Maple Ridge Twp 386 241 0 627 145 61.56% 38.44% 23.13%
Ossineke Twp 459 200 0 659 259 69.65% 30.35% 39.30%
Sanborn Twp 561 265 0 826 296 67.92% 32.08% 35.84%
Wellington Twp 77 27 0 104 50 74.04% 25.96% 48.08%
Wilson Twp 605 257 0 862 348 70.19% 29.81% 40.37%









Total 7627 4196 0 11823 3431 64.51% 35.49% 29.02%

Gillard easily won his 3rd term.


St Rep 106th 06 Viegelahn Gillard 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 916 2974 0 3890 -2058 23.55% 76.45% -52.90%
Alpena Twp 991 2974 0 3965 -1983 24.99% 75.01% -50.01%
Green Twp 163 311 0 474 -148 34.39% 65.61% -31.22%
Long Rapids Twp 152 270 0 422 -118 36.02% 63.98% -27.96%
Maple Ridge Twp 191 443 0 634 -252 30.13% 69.87% -39.75%
Ossineke Twp 251 406 0 657 -155 38.20% 61.80% -23.59%
Sanborn Twp 217 610 0 827 -393 26.24% 73.76% -47.52%
Wellington Twp 49 53 0 102 -4 48.04% 51.96% -3.92%
Wilson Twp 324 539 0 863 -215 37.54% 62.46% -24.91%









Total 3254 8580 0 11834 -5326 27.50% 72.50% -45.01%

2008 was when the other one dropped. Obama took Alpena County, although narrowly. It was an improvement over 2006, but there's still no points for 2nd place. In order to win the state, Republicans need to win big in the north, and win in places with a lot of conservative democrats and ticket splitters like Alpena County.


POTUS McCain Obama 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2143 2853 71 5067 -710 42.29% 56.31% -14.01%
Alpena Twp 2300 2619 87 5006 -319 45.94% 52.32% -6.37%
Green Twp 337 278 14 629 59 53.58% 44.20% 9.38%
Long Rapids Twp 276 259 7 542 17 50.92% 47.79% 3.14%
Maple Ridge Twp 388 395 20 803 -7 48.32% 49.19% -0.87%
Ossineke Twp 487 335 11 833 152 58.46% 40.22% 18.25%
Sanborn Twp 534 506 15 1055 28 50.62% 47.96% 2.65%
Wellington Twp 70 57 2 129 13 54.26% 44.19% 10.08%
Wilson Twp 590 403 28 1021 187 57.79% 39.47% 18.32%









Total 7125 7705 255 15085 -580 47.23% 51.08% -3.84%

The senate race shows what happens when candidates are thrown to the wolves.


US Senate 08 Hoogendyk Levin 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1256 3556 154 4966 -2300 25.29% 71.61% -46.31%
Alpena Twp 1321 3447 156 4924 -2126 26.83% 70.00% -43.18%
Green Twp 219 373 21 613 -154 35.73% 60.85% -25.12%
Long Rapids Twp 170 342 12 524 -172 32.44% 65.27% -32.82%
Maple Ridge Twp 217 535 29 781 -318 27.78% 68.50% -40.72%
Ossineke Twp 345 455 22 822 -110 41.97% 55.35% -13.38%
Sanborn Twp 324 671 39 1034 -347 31.33% 64.89% -33.56%
Wellington Twp 54 69 4 127 -15 42.52% 54.33% -11.81%
Wilson Twp 372 589 39 1000 -217 37.20% 58.90% -21.70%









Total 4278 10037 476 14791 -5759 28.92% 67.86% -38.94%

Stupak had his toughest opponent since 98 with fellow Yooper and State Rep Tom Casperson, but it did not make a difference. Casperson didn't get the help he needed, and it probably would not have mattered anyway. Stupak is probably the most popular politician up north who isn't the ghost of Dominic Jacobetti.


Congress 1st 08 Casperson Stupak 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 1214 3718 91 5023 -2504 24.17% 74.02% -49.85%
Alpena Twp 1301 3601 80 4982 -2300 26.11% 72.28% -46.17%
Green Twp 201 408 13 622 -207 32.32% 65.59% -33.28%
Long Rapids Twp 164 364 9 537 -200 30.54% 67.78% -37.24%
Maple Ridge Twp 212 566 15 793 -354 26.73% 71.37% -44.64%
Ossineke Twp 327 491 12 830 -164 39.40% 59.16% -19.76%
Sanborn Twp 292 734 21 1047 -442 27.89% 70.11% -42.22%
Wellington Twp 45 78 3 126 -33 35.71% 61.90% -26.19%
Wilson Twp 339 653 24 1016 -314 33.37% 64.27% -30.91%









Total 4095 10613 268 14976 -6518 27.34% 70.87% -43.52%

Andy Neumann had one term left as state rep, and ran for it. I think he's setting himself up for another shot at the state senate seat in 2010.Neumann had a tougher race in Alpena County than he did in even 98 for his first term, but still won.


St. Rep 106th 08 Pettalia Neumann 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Alpena City 2188 2737 101 5026 -549 43.53% 54.46% -10.92%
Alpena Twp 2222 2639 113 4974 -417 44.67% 53.06% -8.38%
Green Twp 278 324 18 620 -46 44.84% 52.26% -7.42%
Long Rapids Twp 257 268 8 533 -11 48.22% 50.28% -2.06%
Maple Ridge Twp 334 441 14 789 -107 42.33% 55.89% -13.56%
Ossineke Twp 444 362 19 825 82 53.82% 43.88% 9.94%
Sanborn Twp 501 526 25 1052 -25 47.62% 50.00% -2.38%
Wellington Twp 68 54 4 126 14 53.97% 42.86% 11.11%
Wilson Twp 532 458 22 1012 74 52.57% 45.26% 7.31%









Total 6824 7809 324 14957 -985 45.62% 52.21% -6.59%


2010 will be interesting in Alpena County. Neumann is termed out, as is Stamas. Two seats with an anchor in Alpena County are open. Both are competitive. Bush won both districts, and I think McCain won the state rep district, and possibly the state senate district, although I'm less sure about that one. They are both legitimate swing districts. If Stupak steps down from Congress, that seat is also a swing district.

What surprised me the most with Alpena County is the number of local republicans holding office, even in Maple Ridge and Alpena Townships. The ticket splitting there goes deeper than I thought. This county needs to be contested strongly to keep control of the state senate and to regain control of the state house and district boundaries for 2012.

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

SCOTUS to hear McDonald 2nd and 14th Amendment case

This case, McDonald v Chicago, is one of the biggest cases in SCOTUS (Supreme Court of the United States) history. It is the most important 2nd Amendment case in history, and one of the biggest in regards to the 14th Amendment. This is a rare direct shot against some bad precedence. In order to understand this case some background is needed.

Back in November of 07, I had a five part series over the history and interpretation, and of the 2nd Amendment by the courts. This was before the DC v Heller ruling.

Part 1 was an overview and a preview of DC v Heller (Then Parker v DC)

Part 2 was a focus on the original intent of the founding fathers.


Part 3 focused on the pre-Miller cases

Part 4 focused on the Miller case

Part 5 was a preview of DC v Heller


Those were written before the ruling on Heller. Other related posts I've had on Heller are these.

Amici

My comments on Heller


That leads to the current issue. Incorporation. The 2nd Circuit, led by now SCOTUS Justice Sonia Sotomayor ruled against it. The 9th circuit of all places, supports it under a due process claim. The 7th Circuit upheld the ban, setting up this case to be a SCOTUS showdown. The general history of incorporation is through "substantive due process" or "equal protection." The Privileges and Immunities clause is almost never used.

Soon, the Chicago Gun Case is being heard by SCOTUS. You can find all the background, the filings, and opinions at the Chicago Gun Case website run by the Second Amendment Foundation and Gura and Possessky law firm. Alan Gura was the attorney for Heller and he is back again for the McDonald case.

This case is similar to Heller in that it is a gun ban case regarding the 2nd Amendment. However, Heller was fighting federal law. McDonald is fighting a local ordinance which is a whole different matter. The precedent is long and bad going back to the post-reconstruction days following the Civil War.

After the Civil War, there were three constitutional amendments known as the Reconstruction Amendments. They were the 13th, 14th, and 15th Amendments. The 13th eliminated slavery (the Emancipation Proclamation only eliminated it in Confederate States). The 15th addressed voting rights. The 14th Amendment is at issue in the McDonald case and reads as follows.

|'''Section 1.''' All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside. No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.

'''Section 2.''' Representatives shall be apportioned among the several States according to their respective numbers, counting the whole number of persons in each State, excluding Indians not taxed. But when the right to vote at any election for the choice of electors for President and Vice President of the United States, Representatives in Congress, the Executive and Judicial officers of a State, or the members of the Legislature thereof, is denied to any of the male inhabitants of such State, being twenty-one years of age, and citizens of the United States, or in any way abridged, except for participation in rebellion, or other crime, the basis of representation therein shall be reduced in the proportion which the number of such male citizens shall bear to the whole number of male citizens twenty-one years of age in such State.

'''Section 3.''' No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability.

'''Section 4.''' The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be questioned. But neither the United States nor any State shall assume or pay any debt or obligation incurred in aid of insurrection or rebellion against the United States, or any claim for the loss or emancipation of any slave; but all such debts, obligations and claims shall be held illegal and void.

The two provisions are at the heart of this case. Due Process is the backup plan and the conventional argument. The home run argument is Privileges and Immunities. McDonald is going for the home run, as seen in his brief. This is a real ballsy brief to say the least. It is 91 pages and most of it is attacking 136 years of bad precedence going back to the infamous Slaughter-House cases. Much less of it addresses substantive due process, which is the more conventional argument these days.

One of the most universally condemned SCOTUS decisions was the Slaughter-House cases. Most conservative and liberal legal academics alike agree that it was a poor decision. Slaughter-House was an 1873 decision that gutted much of the 14th Amendment. Most of the case was not related to civil rights or even argued. However, the court went beyond what was expected of a case dealing with a New Orleans butcher industry. In the words of Justice Miller

In the case of Paul v. Virginia,24 the court, in expounding this clause of the Constitution, says that 'the privileges and immunities secured to citizens of each State in the several States, by the provision in question, are those privileges and immunities which are common to the citizens in the latter [83 U.S. 36, 77] States under their constitution and laws by virtue of their being citizens.'

The constitutional provision there alluded to did not create those rights, which it called privileges and immunities of citizens of the States. It threw around them in that clause no security for the citizen of the State in which they were claimed or exercised. Nor did it profess to control the power of the State governments over the rights of its own citizens.

Its sole purpose was to declare to the several States, that whatever those rights, as you grant or establish them to your own citizens, or as you limit or qualify, or impose restrictions on their exercise, the same, neither more nor less, shall be the measure of the rights of citizens of other States within your jurisdiction.

In short, according to Slaughter-house, which has not been completely overturned, states can take away rights because a state citizen is different than a US citizen. The Slaughter-House line of cases lead to the Cruikshank and Presser cases which said that the Second Amendment applies only to the federal government.

From Cruikshank, Justice Waite writing the opinion:

We have in our political system a government of the United States and a government of each of the several States. Each one of these governments is distinct from the others, and each has citizens of its own who owe it allegiance and whose rights, within its jurisdiction, it must protect. The same person may be at the same time a citizen of the United States and a citizen of a State, but his rights of citizenship under one of these governments will be different from those he has under the other. Slaughter-House Cases, 16 Wall. 74.

And Cruikshank (1876) comes from Slaughter-House. It gets worse, much worse.

The first amendment to the Constitution prohibits Congress from abridging "the right of the people to assemble and to petition the government for a redress of grievances." This, like the other amendments proposed and adopted at the same time, was not intended to limit the powers of the State governments in respect to their own citizens, but to operate upon the National Government alone.

You read that right. The fist amendment protections are limited to the national government alone. "Bullshit," you say. Today, this is no longer the case, but that was the case in 1876. That is their view of the Bill of Rights. The same reasoning they used in the first amendment, applied to the second Amendment. That reasoning for the second amendment is still in affect today, and one of the favorite talking points among the left today. If you love Cruikshank, you better love all of it. I don't like any of it. Checks and balances in favor of freedom are good for our country.

More from Justice Waite and the Court:

The second and tenth counts are equally defective. The right there specified is that of "bearing arms for a lawful purpose." This is not a right granted by the Constitution. Neither is it in any manner dependent upon that instrument for its existence. The second amendment declares that it shall not be infringed, but this, as has been seen, means no more than that it shall not be infringed by Congress. This is one of the amendments that has no other effect than to restrict the powers of the national government, leaving the people to look for their protection against any violation by their fellow citizens of the rights it recognizes, to what is called, in The City of New York v. Miln, 11 Pet. 139, the "powers which relate to merely municipal legislation, or what was, perhaps, more properly called internal police," "not surrendered or restrained" by the Constitution of the United States.

And this.

The Fourteenth Amendment prohibits a State from denying to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws; but this provision does not, any more than the one which precedes it, and which we have just considered, add anything to the rights which one citizen has under the Constitution against another. The equality of the rights of citizens is a principle of republicanism. Every republican government is in duty bound to protect all its citizens in the enjoyment of this principle, if within its power. That duty was originally assumed by the States, and it still remains there. The only obligation resting upon the United States is to see that the States do not deny the right. This the amendment guarantees, but no more. The power of the national government is limited to the enforcement of this guaranty.

Presser (1886) reaffirmed Cruikshank. Presser can be read here. The opinion was written by Justice Woods. It was still the Waite Court in that period. It repeats Cruikshank when it comes to the 2nd Amendment. The last case SCOTUS addressed regarding the 2nd Amendment and state laws is Miller v Texas, which did not raise a 14th Amendment objection. Bad move. They followed Cruikshank, and added this.

And if the Fourteenth Amendment limited the power of the states as to such rights, as pertaining to citizens of the United States, we think it was fatal to this claim that it was not set up in the trial court. In Spies v. Illinois, 123 U. S. 131, 123 U. S. 180, objection was made that a certain letter was obtained from the defendant by an unlawful seizure, and the constitutional immunity was set up in the Supreme Court of Illinois, as well as in this Court, but it was not made on the trial in the court of original jurisdiction. It was held, both by the Supreme Court of Illinois and by this Court, that the defense should have proven that the letter was unlawfully seized by the police, and should then have opposed its admission upon the ground that it was obtained by such unlawful seizure. Said the Chief Justice:

"As the supreme court of the state was reviewing the decision of the trial court, it must appear that the claim was made in that court, because the supreme court was only authorized to review the judgment for errors committed there, and we can do no more. . . . If the right was not set up or claimed in the proper court below, the judgment of the highest court of the state in the action is conclusive, so far as the right of reviews here is concerned."

That is the binding precedence when it comes to the Second Amendment and state/local laws, at least until now. Presser, Cruikshank and Slaughter-House can be knocked out. McDonald is attempting to do just that, starting with Chicago.

The McDonald brief reads much like a history thesis, reintroducing John Bingham's thoughts who was the author of the first clause of the 14th Amendment. Much of the brief centers around the Northern originalist though in that period. John Bingham, Jacob Howard (Reconstruction Committee) and Thaddeus Stevens. It was understood and mentioned specifically by Stevens, that the Privileges and Immunities in the 14th Amendment referred to the Bill of Rights in the US Constitution. Obviously that includes the Right to Keep and Bear Arms. The Connecticutt Governor in 1866 was complaining of guess what...gun grabbing. Page 57 of the PDF file. - http://www.chicagoguncase.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/08-1521ts.pdf

McDonald asks the court specifically to overturn Slaughter-House, Cruikshank, and Presser. Charles Black (involved in Brown v Board of Education), who wrote "A New Birth of Freedom" (One of my textbooks I had to read) was cited in this brief. He stated that Slaugher-House was "probably the worst holding, in its effect on human rights, ever uttered by the Supreme Court." I'd argue Dred Scott, but Slaughter-House is a close second. Most scholars would probably cite Plessy v Ferguson in 1896, but I doubt that would be around if it wasn't for Slaughter-House and its cousin, the "civil rights cases" of 1883.

This brief also argues for relief under substantive due process, but that's not the significant home run attempt here.

ChicagoGunCase.com has all of the filings on their site, including the Amici Curiae of interest groups and others.

The NRA brief argued more strongly for due process, but did mention Privileges and Immunities as an alternative.

The Cato Institute attacked Slaughter-House.

The liberal Constitutional Accountability Center supports McDonald as well in a quite strong brief.

The Conservative Center for Constitutional Jurisprudence (Ed Meese) also had a supportive brief for McDonald on Privileges and Immunity grounds.

The libertarian Institute for Justice agreed with both the liberals and the conservatives.

37 States including Michigan signed a brief supporting McDonald. Thank you Mike Cox. Members of Congress also signed a support brief. Levin and Stabenow did not sign this. What a shocker. However, Dave Camp, John Dingell, Pete Hoekstra, Thad McCotter, Candice Miller, Gary Peters (That shocks me with his State Senate record), Mike Rogers, Mark Schauer (another shocker), and Bart Stupak all signed it. Only Vern Ehlers, John Conyers, Sander Levin, and Carolyn Kilpatrick did not among out house reps. Those were mostly on due process arguments. A state legislature brief was filed. Some Michigan state reps signed on board that brief. Brian Calley, Kevin Elsenheimer, Rick Jones, Mike Lahti, Richard LeBlanc, Matt Lori, Andy Neumann, Paul Opsommer, Randy Richardville, and Joel Sheltrown all signed their names to supporting McDonald.

Others supporting McDonald are think tanks from all over the spectrum, law enforcement groups (public policy grounds), several professors, and some prosecutors.

The anti-gun Brady Campaign and anti-gun NAACP filed briefs in support of neither party. Brady is pushing for "rational basis" review instead of the proper strict scrutiny standard in protecting fundamental rights. The NAACP brief does not want Slaughter-House addressed in this case and focused on public policy reasons to implicitly support the ban.

There is some controversy with the attempt to take out Slaughter-House, even among libertarians. Some interesting commentary at Reason Magazine, as well as by Professors Olin Kerr and Randy Barnett at Professor Volokh's blog.

As someone who is not all that fond of substantive due process (neither Lochner nor the abortion cases) I happen to support Alan Gura and McDonald's gutsy move. The Privileges and Immunities clause has been neglected since the Slaughter-House line of cases. It needs to be overturned. Without Slaughter-House, there is no Cruikshank or Presser, which was worse. There might not even have been Plessy if it wasn't for Slaughter-House. I am mostly textualist in my interpretations, and originalist when there is any ambiguity. The 2nd Amendment is clear. The 14th Amendment is even clearer. The intent is clear and open for all to read. It's time that the Bill of Rights - ALL of them, are officially incorporated through the 14th Amendment's Privileges and Immunities clause. This is about the Bill of Rights, no more, no less.

Allegan County Updated (Part 2, 2006 to present)

Part two of Allegan County

In 06, the trouble started to roll. 06 and 08 were disasters statewide, but the GOP took a major beating in West Michigan, by our standards.  Republicans need to win Allegan County big, not just win it. Take a map of the townships from the census, and then look at where the red to blue flips were. They were in the Southern portion of the County. North (Dutch) stayed red, South went blue. It's the Holland and GR Suburban influence verses the Kalamazoo and South Haven influence. Douglas became incorporated as well. The reason why its so blue is that it is right next to Saugatuck. Previously, it was part of Saugatuck Township for election purposes.


Governor 06
DeVos
Granholm
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
636
903
18
1557
-267
40.85%
58.00%
-17.15%
Allegan Twp
782
961
21
1764
-179
44.33%
54.48%
-10.15%
Casco Twp
551
597
12
1160
-46
47.50%
51.47%
-3.97%
Cheshire Twp
360
444
16
820
-84
43.90%
54.15%
-10.24%
Clyde Twp
293
301
12
606
-8
48.35%
49.67%
-1.32%
Dorr Twp
1950
1132
31
3113
818
62.64%
36.36%
26.28%
City of Douglas
212
367
8
587
-155
36.12%
62.52%
-26.41%
City of Fennville
150
152
10
312
-2
48.08%
48.72%
-0.64%
Fillmore Twp
1023
205
10
1238
818
82.63%
16.56%
66.07%
Ganges Twp
558
609
18
1185
-51
47.09%
51.39%
-4.30%
Gunplain Twp
1118
1359
47
2524
-241
44.29%
53.84%
-9.55%
Heath Twp
992
409
13
1414
583
70.16%
28.93%
41.23%
City of Holland
1863
917
22
2802
946
66.49%
32.73%
33.76%
Hopkins Twp
608
507
13
1128
101
53.90%
44.95%
8.95%
Laketown Twp
2103
1032
39
3174
1071
66.26%
32.51%
33.74%
Lee Twp
397
432
24
853
-35
46.54%
50.64%
-4.10%
Leighton Township
1449
577
19
2045
872
70.86%
28.22%
42.64%
Manlius Twp
809
435
8
1252
374
64.62%
34.74%
29.87%
Martin Twp
581
397
10
988
184
58.81%
40.18%
18.62%
Monterey Twp
484
338
11
833
146
58.10%
40.58%
17.53%
City of Otsego
539
779
22
1340
-240
40.22%
58.13%
-17.91%
Otsego Twp
889
1169
22
2080
-280
42.74%
56.20%
-13.46%
Overisel Twp
1158
180
11
1349
978
85.84%
13.34%
72.50%
City of Plainwell
576
802
23
1401
-226
41.11%
57.24%
-16.13%
Salem Twp
1111
554
9
1674
557
66.37%
33.09%
33.27%
City of Saugatuck
201
377
8
586
-176
34.30%
64.33%
-30.03%
Saugatuck Twp
643
811
14
1468
-168
43.80%
55.25%
-11.44%
City of South Haven
1
5

6
-4
16.67%
83.33%
-66.67%
Trowbridge Twp
440
590
14
1044
-150
42.15%
56.51%
-14.37%
Valley Twp
363
388
16
767
-25
47.33%
50.59%
-3.26%
Watson Twp
376
410
10
796
-34
47.24%
51.51%
-4.27%
City of Wayland
739
717
15
1471
22
50.24%
48.74%
1.50%
Wayland Twp
616
680
22
1318
-64
46.74%
51.59%
-4.86%









Total
24571
19536
548
44655
5035
55.02%
43.75%
11.28%

The Secretary of State and Attorney General races were the 06 bright spots. Land didn't have much of a dropoff from 2002.


Sec of State 06
Land
Sabaugh
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
905
580
39
1524
325
59.38%
38.06%
21.33%
Allegan Twp
1083
610
32
1725
473
62.78%
35.36%
27.42%
Casco Twp
653
436
33
1122
217
58.20%
38.86%
19.34%
Cheshire Twp
494
293
21
808
201
61.14%
36.26%
24.88%
Clyde Twp
353
236
9
598
117
59.03%
39.46%
19.57%
Dorr Twp
2380
720
40
3140
1660
75.80%
22.93%
52.87%
City of Douglas
294
260
20
574
34
51.22%
45.30%
5.92%
City of Fennville
199
102
7
308
97
64.61%
33.12%
31.49%
Fillmore Twp
1082
127
19
1228
955
88.11%
10.34%
77.77%
Ganges Twp
727
404
29
1160
323
62.67%
34.83%
27.84%
Gunplain Twp
1534
873
50
2457
661
62.43%
35.53%
26.90%
Heath Twp
1159
213
16
1388
946
83.50%
15.35%
68.16%
City of Holland
2193
543
36
2772
1650
79.11%
19.59%
59.52%
Hopkins Twp
758
337
19
1114
421
68.04%
30.25%
37.79%
Laketown Twp
2501
604
40
3145
1897
79.52%
19.21%
60.32%
Lee Twp
450
339
41
830
111
54.22%
40.84%
13.37%
Leighton Township
1647
348
27
2022
1299
81.45%
17.21%
64.24%
Manlius Twp
956
269
11
1236
687
77.35%
21.76%
55.58%
Martin Twp
713
260
11
984
453
72.46%
26.42%
46.04%
Monterey Twp
577
229
23
829
348
69.60%
27.62%
41.98%
City of Otsego
797
481
26
1304
316
61.12%
36.89%
24.23%
Otsego Twp
1264
710
36
2010
554
62.89%
35.32%
27.56%
Overisel Twp
1237
98
8
1343
1139
92.11%
7.30%
84.81%
City of Plainwell
825
499
37
1361
326
60.62%
36.66%
23.95%
Salem Twp
1324
310
13
1647
1014
80.39%
18.82%
61.57%
City of Saugatuck
288
257
20
565
31
50.97%
45.49%
5.49%
Saugatuck Twp
851
568
29
1448
283
58.77%
39.23%
19.54%
City of South Haven
3
3

6
0
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
Trowbridge Twp
590
395
29
1014
195
58.19%
38.95%
19.23%
Valley Twp
487
237
22
746
250
65.28%
31.77%
33.51%
Watson Twp
497
265
19
781
232
63.64%
33.93%
29.71%
City of Wayland
977
445
28
1450
532
67.38%
30.69%
36.69%
Wayland Twp
833
421
33
1287
412
64.72%
32.71%
32.01%









Total
30631
12472
823
43926
18159
69.73%
28.39%
41.34%

Mike Cox actually improved over his 2002 numbers statewide.


AG 06
Cox
Williams
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
828
607
62
1497
221
55.31%
40.55%
14.76%
Allegan Twp
1009
624
58
1691
385
59.67%
36.90%
22.77%
Casco Twp
634
447
38
1119
187
56.66%
39.95%
16.71%
Cheshire Twp
456
310
31
797
146
57.21%
38.90%
18.32%
Clyde Twp
337
235
20
592
102
56.93%
39.70%
17.23%
Dorr Twp
2255
752
93
3100
1503
72.74%
24.26%
48.48%
City of Douglas
270
281
20
571
-11
47.29%
49.21%
-1.93%
City of Fennville
177
114
8
299
63
59.20%
38.13%
21.07%
Fillmore Twp
1062
136
18
1216
926
87.34%
11.18%
76.15%
Ganges Twp
685
421
45
1151
264
59.51%
36.58%
22.94%
Gunplain Twp
1446
910
78
2434
536
59.41%
37.39%
22.02%
Heath Twp
1086
255
36
1377
831
78.87%
18.52%
60.35%
City of Holland
2058
607
70
2735
1451
75.25%
22.19%
53.05%
Hopkins Twp
733
345
30
1108
388
66.16%
31.14%
35.02%
Laketown Twp
2368
685
59
3112
1683
76.09%
22.01%
54.08%
Lee Twp
421
351
54
826
70
50.97%
42.49%
8.47%
Leighton Township
1578
378
43
1999
1200
78.94%
18.91%
60.03%
Manlius Twp
899
294
24
1217
605
73.87%
24.16%
49.71%
Martin Twp
683
268
21
972
415
70.27%
27.57%
42.70%
Monterey Twp
553
229
36
818
324
67.60%
28.00%
39.61%
City of Otsego
764
490
36
1290
274
59.22%
37.98%
21.24%
Otsego Twp
1149
759
69
1977
390
58.12%
38.39%
19.73%
Overisel Twp
1208
107
22
1337
1101
90.35%
8.00%
82.35%
City of Plainwell
777
530
50
1357
247
57.26%
39.06%
18.20%
Salem Twp
1250
347
45
1642
903
76.13%
21.13%
54.99%
City of Saugatuck
255
271
30
556
-16
45.86%
48.74%
-2.88%
Saugatuck Twp
777
606
39
1422
171
54.64%
42.62%
12.03%
City of South Haven
3
3

6
0
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
Trowbridge Twp
567
393
41
1001
174
56.64%
39.26%
17.38%
Valley Twp
450
268
27
745
182
60.40%
35.97%
24.43%
Watson Twp
457
279
35
771
178
59.27%
36.19%
23.09%
City of Wayland
900
480
53
1433
420
62.81%
33.50%
29.31%
Wayland Twp
755
461
51
1267
294
59.59%
36.39%
23.20%









Total
28850
13243
1342
43435
15607
66.42%
30.49%
35.93%

Stabenow somehow won re-election by a big margin, similar to Granholm's numbers.


Senate 06
Bouchard
Stabenow
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
644
872
33
1549
-228
41.58%
56.29%
-14.72%
Allegan Twp
801
917
32
1750
-116
45.77%
52.40%
-6.63%
Casco Twp
522
600
30
1152
-78
45.31%
52.08%
-6.77%
Cheshire Twp
357
431
30
818
-74
43.64%
52.69%
-9.05%
Clyde Twp
255
331
18
604
-76
42.22%
54.80%
-12.58%
Dorr Twp
1979
1124
61
3164
855
62.55%
35.52%
27.02%
City of Douglas
215
351
17
583
-136
36.88%
60.21%
-23.33%
City of Fennville
146
151
12
309
-5
47.25%
48.87%
-1.62%
Fillmore Twp
1015
197
20
1232
818
82.39%
15.99%
66.40%
Ganges Twp
588
564
31
1183
24
49.70%
47.68%
2.03%
Gunplain Twp
1165
1290
57
2512
-125
46.38%
51.35%
-4.98%
Heath Twp
992
392
23
1407
600
70.50%
27.86%
42.64%
City of Holland
1871
818
47
2736
1053
68.38%
29.90%
38.49%
Hopkins Twp
619
485
22
1126
134
54.97%
43.07%
11.90%
Laketown Twp
2134
990
43
3167
1144
67.38%
31.26%
36.12%
Lee Twp
344
475
34
853
-131
40.33%
55.69%
-15.36%
Leighton Township
1458
534
38
2030
924
71.82%
26.31%
45.52%
Manlius Twp
813
421
16
1250
392
65.04%
33.68%
31.36%
Martin Twp
599
374
16
989
225
60.57%
37.82%
22.75%
Monterey Twp
479
331
23
833
148
57.50%
39.74%
17.77%
City of Otsego
540
777
19
1336
-237
40.42%
58.16%
-17.74%
Otsego Twp
889
1128
46
2063
-239
43.09%
54.68%
-11.59%
Overisel Twp
1149
186
15
1350
963
85.11%
13.78%
71.33%
City of Plainwell
572
795
24
1391
-223
41.12%
57.15%
-16.03%
Salem Twp
1107
521
38
1666
586
66.45%
31.27%
35.17%
City of Saugatuck
211
358
10
579
-147
36.44%
61.83%
-25.39%
Saugatuck Twp
664
764
29
1457
-100
45.57%
52.44%
-6.86%
City of South Haven
1
5

6
-4
16.67%
83.33%
-66.67%
Trowbridge Twp
448
553
33
1034
-105
43.33%
53.48%
-10.15%
Valley Twp
355
396
16
767
-41
46.28%
51.63%
-5.35%
Watson Twp
383
386
29
798
-3
47.99%
48.37%
-0.38%
City of Wayland
733
699
36
1468
34
49.93%
47.62%
2.32%
Wayland Twp
627
638
29
1294
-11
48.45%
49.30%
-0.85%









Total
24675
18854
927
44456
5821
55.50%
42.41%
13.09%

Not even Hoekstra was safe in some areas he normally won. Saugatuck and Douglas flipped to the dems at Congressional level. Hoekstra was still extremely strong there, but it wasn't the normal sweep. He ran 3% behind his 04 numbers, which is good considering the year.


Congress 2nd 06
Hoekstra
Kotos
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
Dorr Twp
1150
402
43
1595
748
72.10%
25.20%
46.90%
City of Douglas
275
282
16
573
-7
47.99%
49.21%
-1.22%
City of Fennville
179
107
13
299
72
59.87%
35.79%
24.08%
Fillmore Twp
1079
126
26
1231
953
87.65%
10.24%
77.42%
Heath Twp
1116
248
28
1392
868
80.17%
17.82%
62.36%
City of Holland
2135
591
41
2767
1544
77.16%
21.36%
55.80%
Laketown Twp
2409
684
60
3153
1725
76.40%
21.69%
54.71%
Manlius Twp
941
286
17
1244
655
75.64%
22.99%
52.65%
Monterey Twp
559
235
29
823
324
67.92%
28.55%
39.37%
Overisel Twp
1213
106
27
1346
1107
90.12%
7.88%
82.24%
Salem Twp
1255
347
42
1644
908
76.34%
21.11%
55.23%
City of Saugatuck
277
281
16
574
-4
48.26%
48.95%
-0.70%
Saugatuck Twp
814
603
31
1448
211
56.22%
41.64%
14.57%









Total
13402
4298
389
18089
9104
74.09%
23.76%
50.33%

Upton won easily, but ran 7% behind his 04 numbers. It was a sweep and over 60% in the county still.


Congress 6th 06
Upton
Clark
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
840
640
39
1519
200
55.30%
42.13%
13.17%
Allegan Twp
1005
685
32
1722
320
58.36%
39.78%
18.58%
Casco Twp
663
455
20
1138
208
58.26%
39.98%
18.28%
Cheshire Twp
464
316
24
804
148
57.71%
39.30%
18.41%
Clyde Twp
334
246
10
590
88
56.61%
41.69%
14.92%
Dorr Twp
988
471
39
1498
517
65.95%
31.44%
34.51%
Ganges Twp
690
456
22
1168
234
59.08%
39.04%
20.03%
Gunplain Twp
1516
906
49
2471
610
61.35%
36.67%
24.69%
Hopkins Twp
654
415
31
1100
239
59.45%
37.73%
21.73%
Lee Twp
427
377
29
833
50
51.26%
45.26%
6.00%
Leighton Township
1510
435
38
1983
1075
76.15%
21.94%
54.21%
Martin Twp
678
286
14
978
392
69.33%
29.24%
40.08%
City of Otsego
808
488
23
1319
320
61.26%
37.00%
24.26%
Otsego Twp
1241
756
30
2027
485
61.22%
37.30%
23.93%
City of Plainwell
790
550
29
1369
240
57.71%
40.18%
17.53%
City of South Haven
3
3

6
0
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
Trowbridge Twp
560
436
26
1022
124
54.79%
42.66%
12.13%
Valley Twp
444
285
13
742
159
59.84%
38.41%
21.43%
Watson Twp
440
310
32
782
130
56.27%
39.64%
16.62%
City of Wayland
807
575
40
1422
232
56.75%
40.44%
16.32%
Wayland Twp
692
540
32
1264
152
54.75%
42.72%
12.03%









Total
15554
9631
572
25757
5923
60.39%
37.39%
23.00%

The State Senate seat was not a contest in Allegan County. Birkholz won easily.


St. Senate 24th 06
Birkholz
Royston
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
819
695

1514
124
54.10%
45.90%
8.19%
Allegan Twp
963
740

1703
223
56.55%
43.45%
13.09%
Casco Twp
631
481

1112
150
56.74%
43.26%
13.49%
Cheshire Twp
459
337

796
122
57.66%
42.34%
15.33%
Clyde Twp
351
240

591
111
59.39%
40.61%
18.78%
Dorr Twp
2078
982

3060
1096
67.91%
32.09%
35.82%
City of Douglas
330
245

575
85
57.39%
42.61%
14.78%
City of Fennville
182
121

303
61
60.07%
39.93%
20.13%
Fillmore Twp
1065
149

1214
916
87.73%
12.27%
75.45%
Ganges Twp
723
439

1162
284
62.22%
37.78%
24.44%
Gunplain Twp
1377
1030

2407
347
57.21%
42.79%
14.42%
Heath Twp
1089
287

1376
802
79.14%
20.86%
58.28%
City of Holland
1687
505

2192
1182
76.96%
23.04%
53.92%
Hopkins Twp
655
439

1094
216
59.87%
40.13%
19.74%
Laketown Twp
2406
695

3101
1711
77.59%
22.41%
55.18%
Lee Twp
419
388

807
31
51.92%
48.08%
3.84%
Leighton Township
1508
470

1978
1038
76.24%
23.76%
52.48%
Manlius Twp
925
299

1224
626
75.57%
24.43%
51.14%
Martin Twp
652
311

963
341
67.71%
32.29%
35.41%
Monterey Twp
510
300

810
210
62.96%
37.04%
25.93%
City of Otsego
734
566

1300
168
56.46%
43.54%
12.92%
Otsego Twp
1155
846

2001
309
57.72%
42.28%
15.44%
Overisel Twp
1210
121

1331
1089
90.91%
9.09%
81.82%
City of Plainwell
742
597

1339
145
55.41%
44.59%
10.83%
Salem Twp
1182
438

1620
744
72.96%
27.04%
45.93%
City of Saugatuck
341
236

577
105
59.10%
40.90%
18.20%
Saugatuck Twp
914
535

1449
379
63.08%
36.92%
26.16%
City of South Haven
2
4

6
-2
33.33%
66.67%
-33.33%
Trowbridge Twp
530
473

1003
57
52.84%
47.16%
5.68%
Valley Twp
433
306

739
127
58.59%
41.41%
17.19%
Watson Twp
425
344

769
81
55.27%
44.73%
10.53%
City of Wayland
795
617

1412
178
56.30%
43.70%
12.61%
Wayland Twp
664
601

1265
63
52.49%
47.51%
4.98%









Total
27956
14837
0
42793
13119
65.33%
34.67%
30.66%


Schuitmaker won easily her part of Allegan County.

 
St.Rep 80th 06
Schuitmaker
Olson
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Otsego
752
523

1275
229
58.98%
41.02%
17.96%
Otsego Twp
1158
802

1960
356
59.08%
40.92%
18.16%
Watson Twp
412
337

749
75
55.01%
44.99%
10.01%









Total
2322
1662
0
3984
660
58.28%
41.72%
16.57%

Sheen had no problem thanks to the northern part of the county. The dems took Allegan City, Douglas, Lee Twp, Saugatuck, and the small portion of South Haven however.


St Rep 88th 06
Sheen
Weichman
3rd party
Total
Diff.
GOP%
Dem%
Diff%
City of Allegan
698
744
56
1498
-46
46.60%
49.67%
-3.07%
Allegan Twp
864
788
42
1694
76
51.00%
46.52%
4.49%
Casco Twp
538
506
43
1087
32
49.49%
46.55%
2.94%
Cheshire Twp
420
346
23
789
74
53.23%
43.85%
9.38%
Clyde Twp
293
278
17
588
15
49.83%
47.28%
2.55%
Dorr Twp
2017
970
57
3044
1047
66.26%
31.87%
34.40%
City of Douglas
222
319
24
565
-97
39.29%
56.46%
-17.17%
City of Fennville
158
129
12
299
29
52.84%
43.14%
9.70%
Fillmore Twp
1022
167
15
1204
855
84.88%
13.87%
71.01%
Ganges Twp
610
497
39
1146
113
53.23%
43.37%
9.86%
Gunplain Twp
1283
1037
68
2388
246
53.73%
43.43%
10.30%
Heath Twp
998
345
18
1361
653
73.33%
25.35%
47.98%
City of Holland
1933
707
65
2705
1226
71.46%
26.14%
45.32%
Hopkins Twp
632
436
25
1093
196
57.82%
39.89%
17.93%
Laketown Twp
2213
790
63
3066
1423
72.18%
25.77%
46.41%
Lee Twp
368
411
37
816
-43
45.10%
50.37%
-5.27%
Leighton Township
1477
469
30
1976
1008
74.75%
23.73%
51.01%
Manlius Twp
847
334
26
1207
513
70.17%
27.67%
42.50%
Martin Twp
629
311
22
962
318
65.38%
32.33%
33.06%
Monterey Twp
488
298
24
810
190
60.25%
36.79%
23.46%
City of Otsego



0
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Otsego Twp



0
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
Overisel Twp
1160
150
14
1324
1010
87.61%
11.33%
76.28%
City of Plainwell
693
615
40
1348
78
51.41%
45.62%
5.79%
Salem Twp
1138
445
21
1604
693
70.95%
27.74%
43.20%
City of Saugatuck
213
308
29
550
-95
38.73%
56.00%
-17.27%
Saugatuck Twp
685
679
54
1418
6
48.31%
47.88%
0.42%
City of South Haven
2
4

6
-2
33.33%
66.67%
-33.33%
Trowbridge Twp
493
480
30
1003
13
49.15%
47.86%
1.30%
Valley Twp
351
349
27
727
2
48.28%
48.01%
0.28%
Watson Twp



0
0
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
City of Wayland
740
609
39
1388
131
53.31%
43.88%
9.44%
Wayland Twp
631
578
40
1249
53
50.52%
46.28%
4.24%









Total
23816
14099
1000
38915
9717
61.20%
36.23%
24.97%

2008 was a bad year for the GOP in Michigan, and Allegan County was no exception. While McCain won the county, Obama took 18 municipalities to McCain's 15. Contrasting that to 2004, Kerry took three. He maybe took four depending which parts of then Saugatuck Township voted democrat. I suspect that Douglas went blue and the rest of the township did not in 04. The question is that is this an aberration or not. A charasmatic candidate with no substance against an old guy who quit the state, and announced it to the world. A 54% win here is not a true win statewide.


POTUS 08 McCain Obama 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
City of Allegan 845 1212 43 2100 -367 40.24% 57.71% -17.48%
Allegan Twp 946 1114 42 2102 -168 45.00% 53.00% -7.99%
Casco Twp 636 792 20 1448 -156 43.92% 54.70% -10.77%
Cheshire Twp 456 524 29 1009 -68 45.19% 51.93% -6.74%
Clyde Twp 359 446 18 823 -87 43.62% 54.19% -10.57%
Dorr Twp 2483 1331 84 3898 1152 63.70% 34.15% 29.55%
City of Douglas 246 472 7 725 -226 33.93% 65.10% -31.17%
City of Fennville 163 279 6 448 -116 36.38% 62.28% -25.89%
Fillmore Twp 1124 308 31 1463 816 76.83% 21.05% 55.78%
Ganges Twp 662 708 36 1406 -46 47.08% 50.36% -3.27%
Gunplain Twp 1520 1621 67 3208 -101 47.38% 50.53% -3.15%
Heath Twp 1204 506 38 1748 698 68.88% 28.95% 39.93%
City of Holland 2093 1391 40 3524 702 59.39% 39.47% 19.92%
Hopkins Twp 770 514 33 1317 256 58.47% 39.03% 19.44%
Laketown Twp 2318 1285 53 3656 1033 63.40% 35.15% 28.25%
Lee Twp 428 635 17 1080 -207 39.63% 58.80% -19.17%
Leighton Township 1739 681 43 2463 1058 70.60% 27.65% 42.96%
Manlius Twp 991 569 20 1580 422 62.72% 36.01% 26.71%
Martin Twp 761 455 17 1233 306 61.72% 36.90% 24.82%
Monterey Twp 597 450 20 1067 147 55.95% 42.17% 13.78%
City of Otsego 711 982 34 1727 -271 41.17% 56.86% -15.69%
Otsego Twp 1217 1433 58 2708 -216 44.94% 52.92% -7.98%
Overisel Twp 1334 274 32 1640 1060 81.34% 16.71% 64.63%
City of Plainwell 731 1035 33 1799 -304 40.63% 57.53% -16.90%
Salem Twp 1509 630 48 2187 879 69.00% 28.81% 40.19%
City of Saugatuck 229 396 13 638 -167 35.89% 62.07% -26.18%
Saugatuck Twp 779 963 27 1769 -184 44.04% 54.44% -10.40%
City of South Haven 2 5
7 -3 28.57% 71.43% -42.86%
Trowbridge Twp 575 623 30 1228 -48 46.82% 50.73% -3.91%
Valley Twp 442 516 15 973 -74 45.43% 53.03% -7.61%
Watson Twp 470 447 21 938 23 50.11% 47.65% 2.45%
City of Wayland 883 843 38 1764 40 50.06% 47.79% 2.27%
Wayland Twp 838 725 33 1596 113 52.51% 45.43% 7.08%









Total 30061 24165 1046 55272 5896 54.39% 43.72% 10.67%

The Senate Seat was the result of Jack Hoogendyk being thrown to the wolves.


Senate 08 Hoogendyk Levin 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
City of Allegan 718 1230 93 2041 -512 35.18% 60.26% -25.09%
Allegan Twp 844 1123 81 2048 -279 41.21% 54.83% -13.62%
Casco Twp 556 813 49 1418 -257 39.21% 57.33% -18.12%
Cheshire Twp 388 545 45 978 -157 39.67% 55.73% -16.05%
Clyde Twp 296 453 28 777 -157 38.10% 58.30% -20.21%
Dorr Twp 2243 1403 142 3788 840 59.21% 37.04% 22.18%
City of Douglas 233 456 25 714 -223 32.63% 63.87% -31.23%
City of Fennville 153 261 18 432 -108 35.42% 60.42% -25.00%
Fillmore Twp 1090 318 31 1439 772 75.75% 22.10% 53.65%
Ganges Twp 565 757 57 1379 -192 40.97% 54.89% -13.92%
Gunplain Twp 1360 1648 131 3139 -288 43.33% 52.50% -9.17%
Heath Twp 1135 538 55 1728 597 65.68% 31.13% 34.55%
City of Holland 2042 1312 80 3434 730 59.46% 38.21% 21.26%
Hopkins Twp 697 543 50 1290 154 54.03% 42.09% 11.94%
Laketown Twp 2248 1274 87 3609 974 62.29% 35.30% 26.99%
Lee Twp 341 650 54 1045 -309 32.63% 62.20% -29.57%
Leighton Township 1648 708 67 2423 940 68.01% 29.22% 38.79%
Manlius Twp 903 598 39 1540 305 58.64% 38.83% 19.81%
Martin Twp 701 478 31 1210 223 57.93% 39.50% 18.43%
Monterey Twp 516 484 41 1041 32 49.57% 46.49% 3.07%
City of Otsego 595 1005 69 1669 -410 35.65% 60.22% -24.57%
Otsego Twp 1095 1444 85 2624 -349 41.73% 55.03% -13.30%
Overisel Twp 1282 384 38 1704 898 75.23% 22.54% 52.70%
City of Plainwell 675 1015 65 1755 -340 38.46% 57.83% -19.37%
Salem Twp 1373 673 83 2129 700 64.49% 31.61% 32.88%
City of Saugatuck 204 397 26 627 -193 32.54% 63.32% -30.78%
Saugatuck Twp 691 989 50 1730 -298 39.94% 57.17% -17.23%
City of South Haven 0 7
7 -7 0.00% ####### #######
Trowbridge Twp 505 643 58 1206 -138 41.87% 53.32% -11.44%
Valley Twp 383 531 33 947 -148 40.44% 56.07% -15.63%
Watson Twp 405 471 47 923 -66 43.88% 51.03% -7.15%
City of Wayland 782 875 63 1720 -93 45.47% 50.87% -5.41%
Wayland Twp 735 748 61 1544 -13 47.60% 48.45% -0.84%









Total 27402 24774 1882 54058 2628 50.69% 45.83% 4.86%

Congressional seats did not change much from 06. Hoekstra and Upton bled a little, but still ran far ahead of McCain, and even Bush's 04 numbers. Hoeksta kept above 70%.


<
Congress 2nd 08 Hoekstra Johnson 3rd party  Total Diff. GOP% Dem% Diff%
Dorr Twp 1434 494 59 1987 940 72.17% 24.86% 47.31%
City of Douglas 322 373 17 712 -51 45.22% 52.39% -7.16%
City of Fennville 234 187 11 432 47 54.17% 43.29% 10.88%
Fillmore Twp 1209 211 26 1446 998 83.61% 14.59% 69.02%
Heath Twp 1311 365 51 1727 946 75.91% 21.13% 54.78%
City of Holland 2448 986 40 3474 1462