Congressional District 5
Republican Candidates – Eric Klammer (Saginaw)
Democrat Candidates – Dale Kildee (Flint)
Current Rep – Dale Kildee (D-Flint)
Years in office – 28 (1977-present)
Dale Kildee – 67.17%
Myrah Kirkwood – 31.28%
2004 (Approximate – my numbers)
Bush - 40.61%
Kerry – 58.59%
Bush – 41%, Bush 37%
Kerry – 59%, Gore 61%
Cook’s partisan index – Democrats +12
Republican Michigander’s prognosis – Safe Democrat.
All of these Counties: - Genesee, Tuscola.
Bay County: - Bangor, Frankenlust, Hampton, Merritt, Monitor, and Portsmouth townships. Cities of Bay City and Essexville.
Saginaw County: - Birch Run, Blumfield, Buena Vista, Frankenmuth, and Zilwaukee Townships. Cities of Frankenmuth, Saginaw, and Zilwaukee.
This was a gerrymandered district for Dale Kildee intended to take in Genesee County and the democrat strongholds of Saginaw and Bay City. Tuscola County was added as well, much to the chagrin of the republicans there. There are five safe democrat seats in Michigan, which are all around 58% or more democrat. This is the 5th most democrat seat in the district. (Behind Dingell’s, Levin’s, Kilpatrick’s, and Conyers’s in that order)
There are republican areas in the district, mostly near Frankenmuth, and Tuscola County, but this district is 60% democrat, and won’t go Republican barring a disaster for the democrats.