State Senate - District 22
Republican Candidates – Valde Garcia (Howell/Marion Township), Barton Hellmuth (Genoa Township)
Democrat Candidates – Donna Anderson (Brighton)
Current Rep – Valde Garcia (R-Howell)
Valde Garcia – 68.23%
Jim Swonk – 31.77%
Bush – 59.67%
Kerry – 39.37%
Republican Michigander’s prognosis – Safe Republican
All of Livingston and Shiawassee Counties.
Ingham County - Bunker Hill Township, Mason, Leslie, Leslie Township, Vevay Township, Stockbridge Township
This district is the safest GOP district in Southeast Michigan. 2/3 of the district is in Livingston County, which went 62.79% for Bush. The Ingham County portion is small with 11,000 votes and went 55.40% for Bush. Shiawassee County is taking a right turn from its slightly democrat roots and went 52.95% for Bush. They will vote for socially conservative democrats, but not anti-gunners or pro-abortion liberals. Ingham is more liberal, but too small to make a difference in this district.
Valde Garcia won all areas of the district big in 2002 and will probably do so again.
Barton Hellmuth will not be a threat to Valde in the primary. Hellmuth recently said in the Argus that he would not take any contributions for his race. That means unless he spends at least $30,000 of his own money or hits 20,000+ doors, he is not going to have a chance to win. Valde is also a good campaigner who is active in the community.
As for Anderson, she organized a moveon.org anti-war rally here last year. While there are varying opinions on the war, these anti-war marches do nothing to help our troops – especially when the purpose of these rallies are for moveon.org democrats to try and score cheap political points with Bush. These marches would not happen if a democrat were president.
Moveon.org also has a strong gun grabbing agenda. http://news.zdnet.com/2100-9595_22-514518.html and strong pro-abortion agenda - http://political.moveon.org/roberts/info.html That may work in parts of Wayne County, but this isn’t Wayne County.
I’m calling this one safe for Valde Garcia – in the 70%+ range.