Sunday, May 22, 2005

Grand Traverse County

Grand Traverse County:
Location – Northwestern Lower Michigan
Population – 77,654 (2000 Census)
Demographics – 96.51% White, .40% Black, .93% American Indian, .49% Asian, .54% Some other Race, 1.09% Two or more races, 1.49% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat – Traverse City (pop 14,532)

Grand Traverse County is the largest county in Northern Lower Michigan. It lies on Grand Traverse Bay which is part of Lake Michigan. Traverse City is most known for its cherry festival. It is a solid GOP county in most respects.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressman – Dave Camp (R) – 4th District
State Senator – Jason Allen (R) – 37th District
State Representative – Howard Walker (R) – 104th District

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor - John Engler (R) – 71.63%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 28.36%
Secretary of State - Candice Miller (R) – 78.59%, Mary Lou Parks (D) – 20.06%
Attorney General - John Smietanka (R) – 57.94%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 42.06%
Congress:
1st District – Bart Stupak (D) – 50.23%, Michelle McManus (R) – 47.67%

State Senator:
36th District – George McManus (R) – 67.82%, Joel Casler (D) – 32.18%

State Representative:
104th District – Jason Allen (R) – 63.04%, Jane Hayes (D) – 36.96%

2000 Results Countywide
US Senate Spence Abraham (R) – 61.96%, – Debbie Stabenow (D) – 34.61%
Congress:
1st District – Bart Stupak (D) – 50.26%, Chuck Yob (R) – 48.23%

State Representative:
104th District – Jason Allen (R) – 72.56%, Ian Whitney (D) - 27.44%

2002 Results Countywide
Governor – Dick Posthumus (R) – 57.69%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 40.92%
Secretary of State - Terri Lynn Land (R) – 69.08%, Butch Hollowell (D) – 28.13%
Attorney General – Mike Cox (R) – 61.59%, Gary Peters (D) – 35.47%
US Senate - Carl Levin (D) – 51.29%, Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski (R) – 46.98%
Congress:
4th District – Dave Camp (R) – 69.73%, Lawrence Hollenbeck (D) – 27.72%
State Senate:
37th District – Jason Allen (R) – 65.57%, Michael Estes (D) – 34.43%

State Representative:
104th District – Howard Walker (R) – 65.67%, Joel Casler (D) – 32.88%

2004 Results Countywide
Congress:
4th District – Dave Camp (R) – 66.93%, Mike Huckleberry (D) – 31.74%

State Representative
104th District – Howard Walker (R) – 56.84%, Tom Karas (D) – 43.12%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.

GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY
2000 – Bush – 22358 (58.48%), 14371 (37.59%)
2004 – Bush – 27446 (59.42%), 18256 (39.52%)

Acme Township
2000 - 1599 (65.27%), 782 (31.92%)
2004 – 1819 (65.01%), 953 (34.06%)

Blair Township
2000 - 1377 (57.07%), 950 (39.37%)
2004 – 1982 (61.71%), 1190 (37.05%)

East Bay Township
2000 - 2907 (61.14%), 1662 (35.14%)
2004 – 3713 (62.27%), 2201 (36.91%)

Fife Lake Township
2000 - 335 (53.77%), 262 (42.05%)
2004 – 486 (60.06%), 318 (39.31%)

Garfield Township
2000 - 3919 (58.47%), 2561 (38.21%)
2004 – 4914 (59.98%), 3196 (39.01%)

Grant Township
2000 - 286 (61.64%), 159 (34.27%)
2004 – 369 (62.23%), 214 (36.09%)

Green Lake Township
2000 - 1376 (56.81%), 935 (38.60%)
2004 – 1771 (58.29%), 1228 (40.42%)

Long Lake Township
2000 - 2456 (63.74%), 1270 (32.96%)
2004 – 3115 (63.99%), 1704 (35.00%)

Mayfield Township
2000 - 303 (56.74%), 213 (39.89%)
2004 – 445 (64.49%), 239 (34.64%)

Paradise Township
2000 - 905 (59.58%), 553 (36.41%)
2004 – 1319 (64.25%), 705 (34.34%)

Penninsula Township
2000 - 2364 (64.31%), 1195 (32.51%)
2004 – 2488 (60.56%), 1589 (38.68%)

Traverse City
2000 - 3592 (48.77%), 3341 (45.36%)
2004 – 3906 (47.76%), 4165 (50.92%)

Union Township
2000 – 97 (53.01%), 79 (43.17%)
2004 – 117 (57.35%), 86 (42.16%)

Whitewater Township
2000 - 842 (65.12%), 409 (31.63%)
2004 – 1007 (67.86%), 464 (31.27%)

Grand Traverse County is a fast growing and solid GOP County although Traverse City itself has taken a bit of a democrat turn, much as the same way rich areas have been more democrat friendly than in the past, and working class area more friendly to republicans than in the past. I don’t expect this to be competitive, especially with Stupak’s redistricted away from Grand Traverse County, but we will keep an eye to see if Traverse City goes from being competitive to having a strong democrat lean, similar to what is happening to Grand Rapids.

Redistricting did not change much outside of the congressional district. It is now represented by Dave Camp of Midland instead of a UP Democrat. The State Senate district extends now to the UP, so the district has changed, although it is still Traverse City based. The state representative district is about the same.

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