Saturday, June 04, 2005

Livingston County

Livingston County:
Location – Southeastern Michigan
Population – 156,951 (2000 Census) (Approx 175,000 today)
Demographics – 97.13% White, .46% Black, .43% American Indian, .57% Asian, .32% Some other Race, 1.06% Two or more races, 1.24% Hispanic or Latino(of any race)
County Seat – Howell (pop 9,232)

Livingston County is the home base of the Republican Michigander. It is the fastest growning county in the state and is between Ann Arbor and Flint on US-23, and between Lansing and Oakland County on I-96 and M-59. It was the fourth most republican county in the state by percentage in 2004, behind only Hillsdale, Missaukee, and Ottawa counties.

Government Officials Representing area:
Congressman – Mike Rogers (R) – 8th District
State Senator – Valde Garcia (R) – 22nd District
State Representatives:
47th District – Joe Hune (R) – Conway Township, Handy Township (Fowlerville), Iosco Township, Unadilla Township, Putnam Township (Pinckney), Hamburg Township, Howell City and Township, Cohoctah Township, Deerfield Township, Tyrone Township (Livingston portion of Fenton), and Hartland Township.

66th District – Chris Ward (R) – Brighton City and Township, Green Oak Township, Genoa Township, Marion Township, and Oceola Township

1998 Results Countywide:(Winners overall in bold)
Governor - John Engler (R) – 73.82%, Geoffrey Fieger (D) – 26.18%
Secretary of State - Candice Miller (R) – 79.85%, Mary Lou Parks (D) – 18.47%
Attorney General - John Smietanka (R)– 58.23%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 41.77%
Congress:
8th District – Susan Grimes Munsell (R) – 53.05%, Debbie Stabenow (D) – 43.17%

State Senator:
26th District – Mike Rogers (R) – 71.49%, Sylvia McCollough (D) – 26.88%

State Representative:
66th District – Judith Scranton (R) – 70.30%, Patrick Blake (D) – 25.60%
67th District – Paul DeWeese (R) – 60.52%, William Keith (D) – 37.17%

2000 Results Countywide
US Senate Spence Abraham (R) – 57.98%, Debbie Stabenow (D) – 39.11%
Congress:
8th District – Mike Rogers (R) – 63.66%, Dianne Byrum (D) – 33.92%

State Representative:
66th District – Judith Scranton (R) – 72.17%, Jim Swonk (D) – 27.83%
67th District – Paul DeWeese (R) – 60.52%, Tom Holcomb (D) – 37.17%

2002 Results Countywide
Governor – Dick Posthumus (R) – 61.86%, Jennifer Granholm (D) – 37.09%
Secretary of State - Terri Lynn Land (R) – 68.83%, Butch Hollowell (D) – 29.08%
Attorney General – Mike Cox (R) – 64.86%, Gary Peters (D) – 32.87%
US Senate - Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski (R) – 52.27%, Carl Levin (D) – 46.18%
Congress:
8th District – Mike Rogers (R) – 76.80%, Frank McAlpine (D) – 21.90%
State Senate:
22nd District – Valde Garcia (R) – 70.90%, Jim Swonk (D) – 29.10%

State Representative:
47th District – Joe Hune (R) – 68.85%, Matt McGivney (D) – 31.15%
66th District – Chris Ward (R) – 73.34%, W. James Block (D) – 26.66%

2004 Results Countywide
Congress:
8th District – Mike Rogers (R) – 71.48%, Bob Alexander (D) – 26.71%

State Representative
47th District – Joe Hune (R) – 70.82%, Edmund Senkowski (D) – 29.18%
66th District – Chris Ward (R) – 71.57%, W. James Block (D) – 28.43%

2000, 2004 Presidential Results
First number Bush, Second number Democrat
Areas that flipped are in Bold.

LIVINGSTON COUNTY
2000 – Bush - 44637 (59.14%), Gore – 28780 (38.13%)
2004 – Bush – 58860 (62.79%), Kerry – 33991 (36.26%)

Brighton City
2000 - 1770 (53.31%), 1455 (43.83%)
2004 – 2226 (55.42%), 1773 (43.81%)

Brighton Township
2000 - 6061 (63.58%), 3222 (33.80%)
2004 – 6977 (65.85%), 3525 (33.27%)


Cohoctah Township
2000 - 905 (59.38%), 581 (38.12%)
2004 – 1091 (63.76%), 598 (34.95%)

Conway Township
2000 - 720 (58.92%), 470 (38.46%)
2004 – 1025 (64.63%), 540 (34.05%)

Deerfield Township
2000 - 1144 (58.04%), 759 (38.51%)
2004 – 1449 (62.75%), 831 (35.99%)

Genoa Township
2000 - 5079 (62.98%), 2799 (34.71%)
2004 – 7081 (65.69%), 3608 (33.47%)

Green Oak Township
2000 - 4373 (57.56%), 3006 (39.57%)
2004 – 5779 (60.83%), 3618 (38.08%)

Hamburg Township
2000 - 5502 (55.22%), 4200 (42.16%)
2004 – 6933 (57.88%), 4933 (41.18%)

Handy Township
2000 - 1505 (56.64%), 1069 (40.23%)
2004 – 2056 (62.17%), 1225 (37.04%)

Hartland Township
2000 - 3543 (63.68%), 1897 (34.09%)
2004 – 4925 (67.33%), 2329 (31.84%)

Howell City
2000 - 2010 (54.92%), 1535 (41.94%)
2004 – 2499 (58.35%), 1751 (40.88%)

Howell Township
2000 - 1638 (62.28%), 931 (35.40%)
2004 – 2202 (65.36%), 1134 (33.66%)

Iosco Township
2000 - 765 (59.81%), 479 (37.45%)
2004 – 1071 (68.96%), 468 (30.14%)

Marion Township
2000 - 2097 (61.48%), 1228 (36.00%)
2004 – 3137 (65.72%), 1600 (33.52%)

Oceola Township
2000 - 2296 (61.37%), 1368 (36.57%)
2004 – 3513 (65.92%), 1768 (33.18%)

Putnam Township
2000 - 1793 (52.37%), 1513 (44.19%)
2004 – 2417 (56.76%), 1792 (42.09%)

Tyrone Township
2000 - 2741 (60.64%), 1649 (36.48%)
2004 – 3560 (64.57%), 1917 (34.77%)

Unadilla township
2000 - 695 (50.77%), 619 (45.22%)
2004 – 919 (57.84%), 641 (40.34%)

This is my home, and we are surrounded. We have the blue counties of Ingham (Lansing/East Lansing) to the West, Oakland (Detroit Suburbs) to the East, Genesee (Flint) to the North, and the biggest problem of all, Washtenaw (Ann Arbor) to the South.

Every year, the local paper hypes up the democrats and says that it is their time to take over the county. Instead, the county has moved to the right in recent years. It used to elect both pro-life and pro-choice republicans, but now almost every candidates running goes after the Right to Life endorsement. The gun issue has always been strong here, and continues to be. The biggest swings towards Bush are in the more blue collar and western parts of the county. Unadilla is a swing township, and Putnam is marginal, but they went for Bush heavily. They will occasionally support a pro-rural working class democrat, but will not support a John Kerry style of democrat. The gun issue kills them in the entire county, but especially there. The life issue also hurts them here.

The fastest growing areas (outside of Hamburg) are the most republican. Hartland, Tyrone (which used to be competitive), Oceola, Marion, and Genoa Township are all strongholds. The Fowlerville Area (Handy, Conway) is starting to boom as well, and is becoming more Republican as democrats become less blue collar. Brighton City, Hamburg Township, and Green Oak Township’s slight right swing surprised me a little. Many Ann Arborites moved there, so I expected them to be more competitive.

Our county commission is ten Republicans with no democrats. Of our township elected officials, only three trustees are democrat. There are some democrats who sneak on to local non-partisan offices however, usually school board where the letter “D” isn’t shown next to their names.

Redistricting was good to us here. Mike Rogers was given a much safer seat in 2002 as he lost the Washtenaw and Genesee County parts of his district, and gained Clinton County, as well as a republican part of Oakland County. This counteracts the democrat stronghold of Ingham County, and gives him room to spare. He’s probably safe as long as he wants it.

The State Senate district was interesting to say the least. In 2000, Mike Rogers left the state senate mid-term to go to Congress. Valde Garcia, who then lived in Clinton County, won the special election. Redistricting butchered that district, taking out the Clinton County portion due to Livingston County’s growth. Valde moved to Howell, ran for re-election here, and won easily. He’s a strong campaigner who is very active in county events.

The state representative districts changed the most. The Brighton based district (Chris Ward) shrunk due to population grown. Milford Township in Oakland County was added on to the Brighton district. The rural seat shared with Ingham County became an open seat entirely in Livingston County. Parts of the old 66th were also given to the 47th district. We now have 2 Livingston County based districts.

The biggest question is if this county will start to turn towards the democrats due to people moving from other counties, much as that has been the case in Oakland County. So far, this has not been the case here, as democrats lost ground by percentage in 2004, even after gaining 5000 votes since President Bush gained 14000 votes. Gore ran ahead of Kerry in every municipality here. The smallest Bush gain was in Brighton Township, but he broke 65% there.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

The truth in local politics would be a good addition to this site.

So much happens right in your own back yard that poeple never here about.

Anonymous said...

Thank god you are surrounded. Your little band of covered wagons (and eyes too) are holding out hope that your little enclave will survive your guns, prosletyzing your simplistic version of morality and total willingness to give up your constitutional rights for a jingoist community that actually believes President Bush has a scintilla of intelligence.

Anonymous said...

Why is the Livingston County Prosecutor threatening the Oakland County Prosecutor over his endorsement of Roberta Balon-Vaughn for Livingston County Probate Court? Could it be the poor reports on Carol Hackett Gargiola performance in his Oakland County office?
Hiding one person’s short comings in the Oakland County court systems doesn’t mean we shouldn’t know why she was run out of Oakland County! We are not a dumping pot here.

Anonymous said...

Why doesn't the Livingston County Prosecutor worry about doing his job which he stinks at instead of backing a fake stuck on herself person like Carol Hackett Gargiola. This is just another example of the poor system we have in Howell. He falls right in line with the incompentence in our judical system and thank goodness we are getting rid on one (Reck).

Anonymous said...

To the last post:
You are so right on this topic! Ask your self this, Since when did the television stations (WDIV) start endorsing Politicians? Is that not against the law?? 1 year in our Community doesn't give you the right or the knowledge of what we are about. Vote for someone who cares about the people of Livingston County! Not someone who is just looking for a job!!!

Wing Rep.2006 said...

Did anyone else hear WDIV News Anchor Steve Gargiola dish Hamburg Township and Pinckney Township at Zukey Lake Tavern the other morning? Asked if he and WDIV television station would cover the Hamburg Funfest in June to promote the Livingston County lifestyle. He stated: "We wouldn’t waste our time out hear in Livingston County. Give me a murder or two and we'll cover that". Isn’t that the husband of Livingston County probate judge candidate Carol Hackett Gargiola. Can you believe they want to pretend that they are part of the Livingston County Community? Go elsewhere Carol we don't need you here.

Rick said...

Christ I wish i ran opon this awhile ago. Do you know how many fathers that This Judge Gargiola has hamstrung right now. She is on some crusade against all men. If a woman says so much as abuse or he swore at me once this power hungry judge puts the man in counceling and takes away parental rights. Give the poor bastards 1 hour of supervised vistation with out so much as an investigation or cross questioning. If there was w ill she would be run out of office.