Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Game 3 New Hampshire Shakeups. Hillary clips Obama, McCain wins relatively easy

We got a race here with New Hampshire in. Two things that need to be remembered here. This is the first PRIMARY. Iowa was a caucus setup. Wyoming was a convention. Primaries have the most voters voting. New Hampshire has a large number of independent voters and possibly the most independent streak in the country. This is a group that voted for Bob Smith and Bill Clinton in the same year statewide. Polar opposites.

It's a bigger win for momentum than for delegates. Delegatewise, it was actually a tie for the democrats. It's a little bigger with 3 for McCain, but the polls expected a double digit victory for the "rock star' Obama. The big loser is Edwards. From a GOP standpoint. GOOD. I think he's the strongest of the democrat frontrunners with Richardson strongest of all of them.

Results:
GOP (88% in)
McCain - 79,061 - 37% - 7 delegates
Romney - 67,574 - 32% - 4
Huckabee - 23,667 - 11% - 1
Giuliani - 18,362 - 9% - 0
Paul - 16,281 - 8% - 0
Thompson - 2,572 - 1%
Hunter - 1,085 - less than 1%

Dem (89% in)
Clinton - 99,863 - 39% - 9 delegates
Obama - 93,033 - 37% - 9 delegates
Edwards - 43,100 - 17% - 4 delegates
Richardson - 11,656 - 5% - 0
Kucinich - 3,485 - 1% - 0
Biden, Gravel, Dodd - less than 1% (Two of the three dropped out)


Current Standings
GOP: (after 3)
Romney 24
Huckabee 18
McCain 10
Thompson 6
Paul 2
Hunter 1
Rest 0

Dems: (after 2)
Obama 25
Clinton 24
Edwards 18

Now on to the Great State of Michigan for Game 4. 0 Delegates are in stake for the Democrats due to the DNC slapping the face of democrat voters. The GOP does have delegates in state. With the close race among the democrats, most of the dem candidates fubared themselves by taking their names off the ballot. Only Hillary, Chris Dodd, and Dennis Kucinich I think are on there (maybe Gravel, not sure). The GOP has all the candidates on the ballot. The GOP has 30 voting delegates in stake. The system used is a district winner take all system, as well as at large bonus proportional.

Strictly momentum is in state for the democrats, but the media win is bigger than the actual numbers right now. Hillary and McCain are the big winners today, even though they trail in the overall standings.