Monday, March 10, 2008

Dumb and Dumber (and a new No guts award winner)

It's a very interesting political day today. As Vince Lombardi said, "What the hell's going on out here."

First off, this isn't the dumb and dumber part, but the GOP got whacked in Illinois. Illinois is a bad state for us overall with the Chicago influence, but this one really hurt. There was a special election with the resignation of Dennis Hastert. Democrat Foster knocked out Jim Oberweis

Why did this happen? It's quite simple. You do not win when you don't show up. In a marginal GOP leaning district, low turnout hurt bad, since there enough democrats to win if they show up. That happened here.

Special Election 08:
Bill Foster - 52,010
Jim Oberweis - 46,988

That's VERY low turnout for a congressional seat. 06 was an off year, and 04 is a presidential year.

2006
Dennis Hastert - 117,870 - 60%
Jonathan Laesch - 79,274 - 40%

2004
Dennis Hastert - 191,616 - 69%
Ruben Zamora - 87,590 - 31%

Bush won the district 55-44 in 04 and 54-42 in 00. There's no reason we should have lost this. The LOSER in 04 and 06 had 35,000 and 27,000 more votes than the WINNER in the 08 special election. There's going to be a rematch this fall, but Oberweis is obviously behind the 8 ball.

Now, on to Dumb and Dumber.

Dumb goes to New York Governor Elliot Spitzer. No, not for likely (based on his comments) being involved in a prostitution ring.
From the London Times
Eliot Spitzer, the crusading New York Governor often tipped as a future American president, suffered a spectacular fall from grace yesterday when he was implicated in a prostitution ring.

Mr Spitzer, whose eight years as New York State’s Attorney-General earned him a reputation as “the sheriff of Wall Street”, reportedly told senior aides that he was a client of an international escort service that charged up to $5,500 (£2,750) an hour. Court papers hinted at risky sexual practices. He cancelled all his public appearances and met officials in his Fifth Avenue apartment before making a public apology to his family and the public.

“I have acted in a way that violates my obligations to my family and in a way that violates my or any sense of right and wrong,” he said, with his wife Silda at his side. “I apologise first and most importantly to my family. I apologise to the public, whom I have promised better. I am disappointed I have not lived up to the standards I have set for myself.”

Mr Spitzer, 48, who was elected Governor with a record 69 per cent of the vote, is married with three daughters. He did not immediately step down, but said that he needed to dedicate some time to regaining the trust of his family. If he steps aside, he will be replaced by Lieutenant-Gover-nor David Paterson

The dumb part is this.
In 2004 he voiced revulsion as he announced the arrests of 16 people for running a prostitution ring out of Staten Island

Is that a competition ring, Spitz? Apt last name for you if I may add?

The real dumb part - $5500 an hour? THAT's dumb. You're the governor of New York, and have to pay that much? For that price, not to mention your career, she better be really hot.


Dumber goes to the Arkansas GOP. I'm bringing back the No Guts award for these guys. They are our third winner. Our first "No Guts" award winner was Barack Obama. Our 2nd winner was an apartment complex in Jacksonville for firing a guy who did the right thing. Our next winner is the Arkansas GOP for this.

From CQ Politics:

Arkansas Democrat Mark Pryor ’s bid for a second Senate term soared from highly likely to virtually certain Monday, when no Republican challenger met the state’s congressional filing deadline at noon central time.

CQ Politics has changed its rating on Pryor’s race to Safe Democratic from Democrat Favored, reflecting the fact that he is the first Senate incumbent running this year to officially draw no major-party opponent.

It was likely that this rating change would have been made even if the GOP had fielded a candidate. Republicans’ hopes for seriously competing faded after Asa Hutchinson, a former House member and former high-ranking official at the federal Department of Homeland Security, declined a Senate bid. Then former Gov. Mike Huckabee stuck to his pledge not to run for the Senate this year, even though he dropped his presidential campaign last week after Arizona Sen. John McCain won enough delegates to clinch the Republican nomination.


Pryor is a FIRST TERM incumbent. The GOP didn't show up. They could not get John Doe even to run? Pryor was a very beatable incumbent, and one of the best shots in the Senate - and this is a very tough cycle for the GOP Senate (as will be 2010). 2012 is our best shot at a comeback there. Because of the ineptness of the Arkansas GOP, we're handicapped even more. Thanks, guys. As I said in the Hastert seat, you don't win if you don't show up. That earned you all a No Guts award. Every race should be contested. Period.

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