Thursday, October 02, 2008

McCain scales resources back from Michigan

I think there are two big mistakes here. The first mistake is pulling back from here. The bigger mistake is announcing it to the media.

I long thought that Obama could not win Michigan. I still think he can't win Michigan, but McCain can lose Michigan if he can not seal the deal to why people should vote for him. So far, I don't think he has sealed the deal, and the window is a lot smaller than it was a week ago. Right now it's closed, and it needs to get broken open. I'll no longer comment on the bailout, but I think that hurt badly.

Michigan likes fighters. They don't respect "let's be nice" which is the McCain we've been seeing lately. Michigan respects the McCain that we saw on the debate. "Fight with me. I'll make them famous." That needs to come back, fast.

It's the economy stupid. James Carville understood it. There is no reason why McCain should concede this issue to a effeminate, elitist, arrogant, big mouthed, wuss who never struggled in his life like Obama. Obama has no blue collar appeal whatsoever. He's not man enough for this area. McCain needed to, and needs, to take advantage of that. He paid his dues. Obama has not. That opens a window and is nearly shut. Break it open.

My gut tells me that Michigan would have gone McCain as recently as last week. Not today. I think Obama would win here right now by 5-6%, similar to Gore in 2000 or Clinton in 1992. Today. There is still a month to go. McCain can not play prevent (from winning) defense and put all his eggs into Ohio, Florida, and Colorado. He's still in Pennsylvania, but that's a similar state demographically and culturaly to Michigan, especially in Western and Northeastern PA. Socially moderate conservative, economics moderally liberal and very populist. If he's struggling here, he's struggling there too, and a lot of the same issues here are factors there. Obama isn't man enough to win there or here, but that doesn't mean he won't get enough of those votes by default, because McCain is not hitting the right issues.

If I were Mac's campaign manager, I'd do this whether it be here or elsewhere:

1. FIGHT! Less Bob Dole. Less of either George Bush. More Harry Truman. Be the Maverick.
2. Jobs, jobs, jobs. Most people are not overly concerned with Wall Street. We're concerned about main street, our jobs, and eventual retirements.
3. Experience. Obama had a chance to change four years ago and failed. I brought change, by fighting for it.
4. Expose what a radical Obama is. Total handgun ban. Failed to protect babies that survived abortions. Big giveaways of our tax money. Leftist judges. Worked for ACORN and their crookedness. Tied to the Chicago machine. Tied up with the scandals and golden parachute of Jim Johnson and Franklin Raines. Tied with slumlord Tony Resko. Tied up with terrorist Bill Ayers. We should be seeing TV ads with Obama and Ayers and their work together on two boards of directors, and fundraisers at Bill's house.
5. Let Palin be Palin. Stop having Bush's people manage her and let her be herself. Why was she picked and not others, including other women. She was a reformer in Alaska. Don't let the cocktail party types influence you. Fight them too if you have too.

It's the 4th Quarter. Are we going to depend on John Elway taking shots downfield, or are we going to depend on the Detroit Lions secondary? Outside of the little I can do, it's not my call to make. This campaign has had a nasty week, but it is winnable with a little work and a little more aggressiveness.

4 comments:

Michael Ejercito said...

Expecting McCain to fight is like expecting Kerry to fight.

bluzie said...

Obama is certainly "man" enough to win in Livingston County. That is a strange sentence; however, does he have enough voters in Livingston County that will vote for a Democrat is the question. I am quite certain the Obama team will run their numbers up in Livingston County, they have a good organization here. I expect an Obama win in Michigan and the nation.

A Mom for McCain said...

A group of moms are trying a newspaper writing campaign to help along McCain now that he is pulling out of Michigan. Please go to

http://moremomsformccain.blogspot.com/

to the article ALERT FOR MICHIGAN MOMS and pass along if you see fit. God bless

Howard said...

Hello Livingston County from a guy who grew up in Brighton!

I have news about some help coming for the McCain/Palin ticket in the Great Lake State!

I work for the Our Country Deserves Better Committee (website: http://www.OurCountryDeservesBetter.com ) a registered federal political action committee supporting McCain/Palin and
opposing the Obama/Biden ticket.

We’re conducting a cross-country road tour with a delegation of a military mom, black conservative leader, radio talk show host, etc… organizing rallies in 35 cities in key swing states across the United States. (Tour info: http://www.ourcountrydeservesbetter.com/nationaltour/index.html )

Michigan is our top target.

Bar none.

We have Michigan rallies scheduled in Iron Mountain, Marquette, Sault Ste. Marie, Alpena, Traverse City, Grand Rapids, Lansing and Detroit.

We’ve pulled TV ad rates for our television ad buy – looking at these spots 5 spots as our workhorse spots for Michigan:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jVl_GioeNNU

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vW2iZ1pD2G4

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQadAAlK9c4

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4enveZjRgRc

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6E0ycYEGtqU

We're asking for our friends in Michigan to help us nail down the final spots for our rallies and to get the word out. We've got a lot of work to do folks! Let's get it done!!

Sincerely Yours,

Joe Wierzbicki
Our Country Deserves Bettter Committee
http://www.OurCountryDeservesBetter.com