Saturday, January 28, 2012

State House Redistricting - District 66 (HD-66)

State House - District 66
Current Rep - Aric Nesbitt (R-Antwerp Twp)

Candidates:
GOP - Aric Nesbitt (R-Antwerp Twp)
Dems - Richard Rajkovich (D-Mattawan)


Old District (80th)
Aric Nesbitt - 15,492
Thomas Erdmann - 7,850


The old 66th Bill Rogers district where I live is now mostly the 42nd District. Most of the new 66th district is the old 80th district with a few minor changes. The old and new district covers all of Van Buren County. The old district had parts of Allegan County (Otsego/Plainwell). The new district takes in Cooper and Alamo Townships in Kalamazoo County instead. That doesn't change much partisan wise. On paper, this is a swing district. On paper being the key as the GOP has held this for a long time, even in bad years. Covert and South Haven make this seat potentially difficult in any year. None of Van Buren County is that strongly Republican, unlike most of SW Michigan. A lot of the area is slightly leaning, but there are only two areas that went 60% for Bush. Covert Township is the big base for the democrats by percentage due to minorities, but there aren't many people there.


McCain Obama Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Van Buren County 15534 18588 34122 -3054 45.52% 54.48% -8.95%
Kalamazoo County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Alamo Twp 1198 1049 2247 149 53.32% 46.68% 6.63%
Cooper Twp 2635 2873 5508 -238 47.84% 52.16% -4.32%
Total 19367 22510 41877 -3143 46.25% 53.75% -7.51%









Bush Kerry Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Van Buren County 17634 16151 33785 1483 52.19% 47.81% 4.39%
Kalamazoo County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Alamo Twp 1288 918 2206 370 58.39% 41.61% 16.77%
Cooper Twp 2825 2462 5287 363 53.43% 46.57% 6.87%
Total 21747 19531 41278 2216 52.68% 47.32% 5.37%








Last St House GOP Dem Total Diff GOP DEM Diff
Van Buren County 13508 6805 20313 6703 66.50% 33.50% 33.00%
Kalamazoo County:

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Alamo Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Cooper Twp

0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total 13508 6805 20313 6703 66.50% 33.50% 33.00%

2 comments:

Conservative First said...

Van Buren is heavily Republican at the local level. All the county officials have been Republican forever. All the county commissioners are Republicans now, though dems won two in 2008.

Jay said...

VB Co. Dems are unorganized and except South Haven/Covert they do not have a core base. Every candidate they have ever run for State House has lost. They've run an accountant who didn't want to spend money, a transsexual lawyer, and a hippie Asian engineer. Until the Dems have a competent candidate disregard the top GOP/Dem numbers--this is a safe GOP seat.